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Change point estimation for the telegraph process observed at discrete times

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Author Info
Alessandro De Gregorio (Università di Milano, Italy)
Stefano Iacus (Department of Economics, Business and Statistics, University of Milan, IT)

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Abstract

The telegraph process models a random motion with finite velocity and it is usually proposed as an alternative to diffusion models. The process describes the position of a particle moving on the real line, alternatively with constant velocity +v or -v. The changes of direction are governed by an homogeneous Poisson process with rate lambda > 0. In this paper, we consider a change point estimation problem for the rate of the underlying Poisson process by means of least squares method. The consistency and the rate of convergence for the change point estimator are obtained and its asymptotic distribution is derived. Applications to real data are also presented.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Universitá degli Studi di Milano in its series UNIMI - Research Papers in Economics, Business, and Statistics with number 1053.

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Date of creation: 03 May 2007
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Handle: RePEc:bep:unimip:1053

Note: oai:cdlib1:unimi-1053
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Related research
Keywords: discrete observations change point problem volatility regime switch telegraph process

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