Determinants of Aggregate Import Demand of Bangladesh: Cointegration and Error Correction Modelling
AbstractThe study focuses on the empirical modelling of the major determinants of imports demand of Bangladesh using annual data. We, not only, critically examine the determinants of imports demand following conventional wisdom but have taken into account some plausible new determinants like foreign exchange reserves and final expenditure components also. The paper investigates the impact of trade liberalizations as well. We finally employ the equilibrium correction mechanism (ECM) to investigate the short-run dynamics of imports demand. The estimated results demonstrate that the real GDP and relative prices of imports are statistically significant and show expected signs for Bangladesh. Relative imports prices is an important determinant of imports demand both in the short- and long-run. We find that the hypothesis of unit coefficient of income in the aggregate imports demand is apposite in Bangladeshi data. Trade liberalization could not make any special difference for the imports demand of the country. Finally, we argue on the basis of estimated results that the demand for Bangladeshi exports determines its aggregate imports demand. This paper was presented in the 18th International Conference, International Trade and Finance Association, Lisbon, Portugal, May 21-24, 2008.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by International Trade and Finance Association in its series International Trade and Finance Association Conference Papers with number 1114.
Date of creation: 06 Aug 2008
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- Musyoka, M.P., 2010. "Using Double-Log Imperfect Import Substitutes Model to Estimate Compensated Elasticities and Welfare Impacts," 2010 AAAE Third Conference/AEASA 48th Conference, September 19-23, 2010, Cape Town, South Africa 95774, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE) & Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA).
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