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Análisis comparativo del riesgo crediticio: una aproximación no paramétrica

Author

Listed:
  • Angela González Arbeláez
  • Juan Carlos Mendoza
  • Hernán Piñeros G.

Abstract

El objetivo de este documento es realizar una estimación de la distribución de pérdidas de las carteras comercial y de microcrédito mediante una aproximación no paramétrica. Se utilizó la metodología de bootstrapping para encontrar esta distribución de pérdidas como porcentaje del portafolio para ambas carteras. Los resultados muestran que la de microcrédito exhibe una pérdida esperada mayor a la comercial, lo que lleva a que sea necesario constituir más provisiones por peso otorgado. Por su parte, la cartera comercial presenta pérdidas no esperadas superiores, por lo que el nivel de capital que se debe exigir es mayor que para microcrédito. Adicionalmente, las pérdidas esperadas de la cartera de microcrédito no muestran una relación clara con el ciclo económico, en contraste con la comercial.

Suggested Citation

  • Angela González Arbeláez & Juan Carlos Mendoza & Hernán Piñeros G., 2010. "Análisis comparativo del riesgo crediticio: una aproximación no paramétrica," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 050, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:temest:050
    DOI: 10.32468/tef.50
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Distribución de pérdidas; microcrédito; probabilidad de incumplimiento; riesgo de crédito;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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