This paper assesses the performance of Mexican pension funds (AFORES) by using an asset pricing model that includes macroeconomic factors and benchmark portfolios to explain returns. We apply a bootstrap statistical technique to obtain the cross-sectional distribution of performance measures (alphas) across all pension funds. This is done to determine whether a pension fund manager adds value to the portfolio before commissions charges, or if the performance observed, after controlling for the relevant factors, is simply explained by luck. Moreover, by comparing pension fund alphas to the distributions of alphas corresponding to lower rankings, we can find out if a particular fund statistically distinguishes itself from others. Our results provide evidence that pension funds managers do not add value to the portfolio and that funds are not distinguishable from each other

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This paper assesses the performance of Mexican pension funds (AFORES) by using an asset pricing model that includes macroeconomic factors and benchmark portfolios to explain returns. We apply a bootstrap statistical technique to obtain the cross-sectional distribution of performance measures (alphas) across all pension funds. This is done to determine whether a pension fund manager adds value to the portfolio before commissions charges, or if the performance observed, after controlling for the relevant factors, is simply explained by luck. Moreover, by comparing pension fund alphas to the distributions of alphas corresponding to lower rankings, we can find out if a particular fund statistically distinguishes itself from others. Our results provide evidence that pension funds managers do not add value to the portfolio and that funds are not distinguishable from each other

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Arnulfo Rodríguez
Gerardo Zúñiga
Pedro N. Rodríguez

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Paper provided by Banco de México in its series Working Papers with number 2008-02.

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Date of creation: Feb 2008
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Handle: RePEc:bdm:wpaper:2008-02

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Pension Funds; Other Private Financial Institutions

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