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Inflation Dynamics in Latin America

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Author Info
Carlos Capistrán
Manuel Ramos Francia

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Abstract

We analyze inflation's persistence in the 1980-2006 period for the ten largest Latin American economies using univariate time-series techniques. Although the estimated degree of inflation persistence appears to be different across countries, for the region as a whole the persistence seems to be very high. However, the estimated degree of persistence falls in all countries once we permit structural breaks in the mean of inflation. The timing of these breaks coincides with shifts in the monetary policy regimes and is similar across countries. Regardless of the changes in the mean, the degree of persistence appears to be decreasing in the region, even though for some countries persistence does not seem to be changing.

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File URL: http://www.banxico.org.mx/documents/%7B4926588E-B90A-C12A-21C8-0049A216CBE2%7D.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Banco de México in its series Working Papers with number 2006-11.

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Date of creation: Nov 2006
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Handle: RePEc:bdm:wpaper:2006-11

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Web page: http://www.banxico.org.mx
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Related research
Keywords: Inflation; Inflation Persistence; Latin America; Monetary Policy; Multiple Breaks; Time Series;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-26.


This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics.