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The transmission of monetary policy shocks in Italy

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  • Eugenio Gaiotti

    (Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department)

Abstract

The paper studies the transmission of monetary policy shocks in Italy, by means of a structural VAR, using a long data sample; focusing on a long sample period permits a comparison between the Italian evidence and the international literature and makes it possible to test the robustness of the results in relation to structural and institutional changes. The interest rates on the refinancing operations of the Bank of Italy are used as measures of monetary policy; the identification of policy shocks is based on a reaction function that includes the exchange rate among its arguments. Under these identifying assumptions, the responses of output and prices to a monetary shock are consistent with the main findings in the international literature; however, the size of the estimated price response is large, leading to a divergence from existing structural models of the Italian economy, in which the effects of monetary policy on prices are limited. After a restriction, real wages increase (in contrast, in the US they decrease); the exchange rate appreciates; the fall in import prices precedes the decrease in consumer prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Eugenio Gaiotti, 1999. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks in Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 363, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_363_99
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Norrbin, Stefan, 2001. "What Have We Learned from Empirical Tests of the Monetary Transmission Effect," Working Paper Series 121, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    2. Guido De Blasio, 2004. "Does trade credit substitute for bank credit?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 498, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. R. Bonci & F. Columba, 2008. "Monetary policy effects: new evidence from the Italian flow-of-funds," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(21), pages 2803-2818.
    4. Massimo Caruso, 2006. "Monetary Policy Impulses, Local Output and the Transmission Mechanism," Giornale degli Economisti, GDE (Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia), Bocconi University, vol. 65(1), pages 1-30, May.
    5. Giuseppe Conti & Luciano Fanti, 2020. "Alternative monetary approaches and causal nexus breakdown in rate of interest and currency reserves in Italy, 1961-1990," Discussion Papers 2020/264, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
    6. Massimo Caruso, 2004. "Monetary Policy Impulses, Local Output and the Transmission Mechanism," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 537, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    7. Chiades Paolo & Gambacorta Leonardo, 2004. "The Bernanke and Blinder Model in an Open Economy: The Italyn Case," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-34, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary transmission; monetary policy shocks;

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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