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Credit demand and supply: a two-way feedback relation

Author

Listed:
  • Ugo Albertazzi

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Lucia Esposito

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

The model developed in this paper extends the framework of self-fulfilling credit market freezes proposed by Bebchuk and Goldstein (2011) by endogenizing firms' investments decisions. The existence of an aggregate investment threshold below which individual investment projects are unsuccessful creates a coordination failure not only among banks but also among firms and, crucially, between the two sides of the market. Because of the resulting strategic complementarities between firms and banks, low credit demand expectations reduce credit supply and viceversa. This two-way feedback loop explains why a severe slump in aggregate demand may be associated with a disruption in lending caused by a financial crisis. Replies to the euro area Bank Lending Survey by individual Italian banks provide support to the model's conclusions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ugo Albertazzi & Lucia Esposito, 2017. "Credit demand and supply: a two-way feedback relation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1134, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1134_17
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    File URL: http://www.bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/temi-discussione/2017/2017-1134/en_tema_1134.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Albertazzi, Ugo & Burlon, Lorenzo & Pavanini, Nicola & Jankauskas, Tomas, 2020. "The (unobservable) value of central bank’s refinancing operations," Working Paper Series 2480, European Central Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit crunch; investment; strategic complementarities; global games;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D25 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice: Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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