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The Joint Dynamics of Spot and Forward Exchange Rates

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Author Info
Francisco de Castro
Alfonso Novales

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Abstract

One and three-month forward exchange rates for the deustche mark, french franc, sterling pound, yen and peseta, relative to the US dollar, seem to be cointegrated with future spot rates, but not with current exchange rates. We confirm the unbiasedness hypothesis for this data set, as a robust cointegrating relation between forward and future spot rates, although forward rates are poor predictors of future exchange rates.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Banco de España in its series Banco de España Working Papers with number 9715.

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Length: 43 pages
Date of creation: 1997
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:9715

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Related research
Keywords: EXCHANGE RATE ; COINTEGRATION;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-30.


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