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The economic effects of exogenous fiscal shocks in Spain: a SVAR approach Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Francisco de Castro () (Banco de España)
Pablo Hernández de Cos () (European Central Bank)
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This paper estimates the effects of exogenous fiscal policy shocks in Spain in a VAR framework. Government expenditure expansionary shocks are found to have a positive impact on output in the short term at the cost of higher inflation and public deficits and lower output in the medium and long term. Tax increases are found to have a negative impact on economic activity in the medium term while having only a temporary effect on the improvement of the public deficit. The application of these results to the analysis of fiscal policy in Spain since the mid nineties point to the conclusion that the consolidation process does not seem to have involved costs in terms of output growth and the stance of fiscal policy has become more counter cyclical.
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Paper provided by Banco de España in its series Banco de España Working Papers with number
0604.
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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2006Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:0604Contact details of provider: Email: Web page: http://www.bde.es/ More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (María D. González. Electronic Dissemination of Information Unit. Research Department. Banco de España).
Keywords: var ; fiscal shocks ; fiscal multipliers ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
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