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Loss Given Default: um estudo sobre perdas em operações prefixadas no mercado brasileiro

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  • Antonio Carlos Magalhães da Silva
  • Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins
  • Myrian Beatriz Eiras das Neves

Abstract

Using data drawn from the Brazilian Central Bank Credit Information System (SCR), this paper investigates the loss incurred by financial institutions given clients defaults - Loss Given Default (LGD) - in Brazilian credit market from January 2003 to September 2007. According to Basel II, it is necessary to calculate LGD to evaluate credit risk in IRB Advanced approach. Selecting a sample of 9.557 non-retail credit operations, we calculate their LGD based on the opportunity cost incurred during the default period and on the principal loss. Other recovery costs were not taken into account. According to the results, the empirical probability distribution of LGD is bimodal, ranging on average between 47% and 92%. Using a Tobit model, we verified that variables related to economic activity level, collateral, exposure size and renegotiation influenced LGD behavior. Results were similar to Dermine and Carvalho (2006), Asarnow and Edwards (1995), Schuermann (2004) and Hurt and Felsovalyi (1998).

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File URL: http://www.bcb.gov.br/pec/wps/port/wps193.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department in its series Working Papers Series with number 193.

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Date of creation: Sep 2009
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Handle: RePEc:bcb:wpaper:193

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Web page: http://www.bcb.gov.br/?english

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Cited by:
  1. Arnildo Da Silva Correa & Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins & Myrian Beatriz Eiras Das Neves & Antonio Carlos Magalhes Da Silva, 2014. "Credit Default And Business Cycles: Anempirical Investigation Of Brazilian Retail Loans," Anais do XL Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 40th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 028, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  2. Arnildo da Silva Correa & Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins & Myrian Beatriz Eiras das Neves & Antonio Carlos Magalhães da Silva, 2011. "Credit Default and Business Cycles: an empirical investigation of Brazilian retail loans," Working Papers Series 260, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

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