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Financial Market Imperfection, Overinvestment,and Speculative Precaution

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Author Info
Christian Calmès

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Abstract

The author uses panel data to assess the sensitivity of investment to cash flow in non-financial firms, taking into account the role their financial health plays in investment decisions. Firms are categorized using a method called the Z-score, a contemporaneous indicator of financial stress that is inversely related to firms’ probability of financial failure. Based on this method, empirical evidence suggests that firms that have the greatest sensitivity of investment to cash flow display the lowest average Z-score. The author also shows that, in this class of firms, investment seems to be partly driven by excessive conservatism, or precaution.

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Paper provided by Bank of Canada in its series Working Papers with number 04-27.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: 2004
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Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:04-27

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Related research
Keywords: Business fluctuations and cycles

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D92 - Microeconomics - - Intertemporal Choice and Growth - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice and Growth, Investment, or Financing
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity
E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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    Other versions:
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