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National Saving-Investment Dynamics and International Capital Mobility

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  • Florian Pelgrin
  • Sebastian Schich
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    Abstract

    The authors analyze the dynamics of national saving-investment relationships to determine the degree of international capital mobility. Following Coakley and Kulasi (1997), the authors interpret the close relationship between national saving and investment in the long run as reflecting a solvency constraint, rather than as evidence of limited capital mobility (Feldstein and Horioka 1980). As in Jansen (1996, 1998), the authors also examine the short-term saving-investment relationship, especially the speed at which the variables return to the long-run equilibrium relationship once they have deviated from it. The ease with which a country can borrow or lend and run current account imbalances in the short run, before it has to ultimately reverse the transaction at some future date to satisfy the solvency constraint, is interpreted as being positively related to the degree of international capital mobility. Extending the approach by Jansen, the authors apply panel error-correction techniques to data for 20 OECD countries from 1960 to 1999, and find that saving and investment display a long-run relationship that is consistent with the interpretation that a long-run solvency constraint is binding for each country. Furthermore, capital mobility has increased over time.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Bank of Canada in its series Working Papers with number 04-14.

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    Length: 43 pages
    Date of creation: 2004
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:04-14

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    Keywords: International topics;

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    References

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    Cited by:
    1. Herwartz, Helmut & Xu, Fang, 2006. "Panel data model comparison for empirical saving-investment relations," Economics Working Papers 2006,06, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
    2. Bebczuk, Ricardo & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, 2006. "Revisiting the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle: An Institutional Sector View," MPRA Paper 1802, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Jean Fouré & Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné, 2010. "The World Economy in 2050: a Tentative Picture," Working Papers 2010-27, CEPII research center.
    4. Ricardo Bebczuk & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2007. "The Feldstein-Horioka Paradox: A New Perspective from the Institutional Sector Level," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(46), pages 103-136, January -.
    5. Ricardo Bebczuk & Lorena Garegnani, 2007. "Corporate Self-Financing and Economic Growth," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(47), pages 63-91, April - J.
    6. Herwartz, H. & Xu, F., 2010. "A functional coefficient model view of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 37-54, February.
    7. Jean Fouré & Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné, 2012. "The Great Shift: Macroeconomic projections for the world economy at the 2050 horizon," Working Papers 2012-03, CEPII research center.

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