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Alternative Targeting Regimes, Transmission Lags, and the Exchange Rate Channel

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Jean-Paul Lam

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Abstract

Using a closed-economy model, Jensen (2002) and Walsh (2003) have, respectively, shown that a policy regime that optimally targets nominal income growth (NIT) or the change in the output gap (SLT) outperforms a regime that targets inflation, because NIT and SLT induce more inertia in the actions of the central bank, effectively replicating the outcome obtained under precommitment. The author obtains a very different result when the analysis is extended to open-economy models. Flexible CPI-inflation targeting outperforms both SLT and NIT and is the most robust targeting regime. The gains from targeting CPI inflation are particularly large when the model features transmission lags and/or departures from the uncovered interest parity condition. The author also finds that the stabilization bias inherent in discretionary policy is smaller in an open-economy setting.

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Paper provided by Bank of Canada in its series Working Papers with number 03-39.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: 2003
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Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:03-39

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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References listed on IDEAS
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. David Longworth, 2003. "Implications of a changing economic structure for the strategy of monetary policy : commentary," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 349-360. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jean-Paul Lam & Florian Pelgrin, 2004. "The Implications of Transmission and Information Lags for the Stabilization Bias and Optimal Delegation," Working Papers 04-37, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
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