IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bbv/wpaper/1134.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Posibles consecuencias de la evolucion de las pensiones privadas en China

Author

Listed:
  • Javier Alonso
  • Claudia Llanes Valenzuela
  • David Tuesta
  • Miguel Angel Caballero
  • Li Hui
  • Yun Cao

Abstract

China es ya una de las economias mas importantes del mundo, pero tiene muchas e importantes tareas que resolver, siendo una de ellas la implementacion de un exhaustivo programa social que debera abordar la disminucion de los recursos financieros de la tercera edad tras su retirada de la vida laboral. Tomando en cuenta los acelerados cambios en las tendencias de fertilidad y de longevidad, se preve que la ausencia de una red social bien desarrollada para las personas mayores podria socavar la sostenibilidad economica y social de la sociedad china. En este sentido, el principal objetivo de este documento es plantear un debate preliminar acerca de las perspectivas del sistema de pensiones de China, considerando el ineludible papel de las autoridades en este asunto, y la activa participacion potencial del sector privado. Este documento expone los antecedentes historicos de las pensiones chinas, explica los actuales planes de pensiones para entender las diferentes areas de desarrollo futuro, analiza el mercado potencial de planes de aportaciones y aspira a desarrollar un modelo que permita pronosticar los posibles resultados del sistema de seguridad social hasta 2020.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Alonso & Claudia Llanes Valenzuela & David Tuesta & Miguel Angel Caballero & Li Hui & Yun Cao, 2011. "Posibles consecuencias de la evolucion de las pensiones privadas en China," Working Papers 1134, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:bbv:wpaper:1134
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.bbvaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/migrados/WP_1134_tcm346-280791.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Angel De la Fuente & Jose Emilio Bosca, 2011. "Gasto educativo por regiones y niveles en 2005," Working Papers 1119, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dal Bianco, Marcos & Camacho, Maximo & Perez Quiros, Gabriel, 2012. "Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 377-396.
    2. Maximo Camacho & Jaime Martinez-Martin, 2014. "Real-time forecasting US GDP from small-scale factor models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 347-364, August.
    3. Juan Ordaz Diaz & Adolfo Albo, 2011. "Migracion mexicana altamente calificada en Estados Unidos y transferencia de Mexico a Estados Unidos a traves del gasto en la educacion de los migrant," Working Papers 1125, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    4. Ye, Guangliang & Deng, Guoying & Li, Zhigang, 2014. "Mortgage rate and choice of mortgage length: A quasi-experimental evidence from Chinese transaction-level data," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 96-103.
    5. Enestor Dos Santos & Diego Torres Torres & David Tuesta, 2011. "A review of recent infrastructure investment in Latin America and the role of private pension funds," Working Papers 1137, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    6. Enestor Dos Santos, 2011. "Brazil on the global finance map: an analysis of the development of the Brazilian capital market," Working Papers 1135, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    7. De La Fuente, Angel & Doménech, Rafael, 2013. "The financial impact of Spanish pension reform: A quick estimate," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 111-137, January.
    8. Zhigang Li & Mingqin Wu, 2013. "Estimating The Incidences Of The Recent Pension Reform In China: Evidence From 100,000 Manufacturers," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 31(2), pages 332-344, April.
    9. Maximo Camacho & Agustin Garcia-Serrador, 2011. "The Euro-Sting revisited: PMI versus ESI to obtain euro area GDP forecasts," Working Papers 1120, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    10. Correa-López Mónica & de Blas Beatriz, 2012. "International Transmission of Medium-Term Technology Cycles: Evidence from Spain as a Recipient Country," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-52, November.
    11. Enestor Dos Santos & Diego Torres Torres & David Tuesta, 2011. "Una revision de los avances en la inversion en infraestructura en Latinoamerica y el papel de los fondos de pensiones privados," Working Papers 1136, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    12. Li, Zhigang & Yu, Xiaohua & Zeng, Yinchu & Holst, Rainer, 2012. "Estimating transport costs and trade barriers in China: Direct evidence from Chinese agricultural traders," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 1003-1010.
    13. Javier Alonso & Miguel Angel Caballero & Li Hui & Claudia Llanes Valenzuela & David Tuesta & Yuwei Hu & Yun Cao, 2011. "Potential outcomes of private pension developments in China," Working Papers 1133, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    14. Adolfo Albo & Juan Ordaz Diaz, 2011. "Highly qualified Mexican immigrants in the U.S," Working Papers 1126, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    15. Juan Ramon Garcia, 2011. "Youth unemployment in Spain: causes and solutions," Working Papers 1131, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fondos de pensiones; instituciones financieras privadas; Seguridad Social; pensiones publicas;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bbv:wpaper:1134. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSCAR DE LAS PENAS SANCHEZ-CARO (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ebbvaes.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.