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Un modelo de riesgo de credito basado en opciones compuestas con barrera. Aplicacion al mercado continuo espanol

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Author Info
Maria Carmen Badia Batlle
M. Mercedes Galisteo Rodriguez
M. Teresa Preixens Benedicto (Universitat de Barcelona)
Abstract

In this work the valuation methodology of compound option written on a downand-out call option, developed by Ericsson and Reneby (2003), has been applied to deduce a credit risk model. It is supposed that the firm has a debt structure with two maturity dates and that the credit event takes place when the assets firm value falls under a determined level called barrier. An empirical application of the model for 105 firms of Spanish continuous market is carried out. For each one of them its value in the date of analysis, the volatility and the critical value are obtained and from these, the default probability to short and long-term and the implicit probability in the two previous probabilities are deduced. The results are compared with the ones obtained from the Geske model (1977).

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Paper provided by Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia in its series Working Papers in Economics with number 156.

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Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bar:bedcje:2006156

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Postal: Espai de Recerca en Economia, Facultat de Ciències Econòmiques. Tinent Coronel Valenzuela, Num 1-11 08034 Barcelona. Spain.
Web page: http://www.ere.ub.es
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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  1. Young Ho Eom, 2004. "Structural Models of Corporate Bond Pricing: An Empirical Analysis," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 17(2), pages 499-544. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Duffie, Darrell & Singleton, Kenneth J, 1999. "Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(4), pages 687-720.
  3. Geske, Robert, 1979. "The valuation of compound options," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 63-81, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-54, May-June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Ericsson, Jan & Reneby, Joel, 1995. "A Framework for Valuing Corporate Securities," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 89, Stockholm School of Economics, revised Oct 1998. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Black, Fischer & Cox, John C, 1976. "Valuing Corporate Securities: Some Effects of Bond Indenture Provisions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 31(2), pages 351-67, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-70, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Jan Ericsson & Joel Reneby, 2003. "Stock options as barrier contingent claims," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 121-147, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Brockman, Paul & Turtle, H. J., 2003. "A barrier option framework for corporate security valuation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(3), pages 511-529, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Santiago Forte & J. Ignacio Peña, 2003. "Debt Refinancing And Credit Risk," Business Economics Working Papers wb031704, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa. [Downloadable!]
  11. Jarrow, Robert A & Turnbull, Stuart M, 1995. " Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 53-85, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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