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Guessing Games and People Behaviours: What Can we Learn?

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Author Info
Andrea Morone () (University of Bari.)
Piergiuseppe Morone () (University of Foggia.)

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Abstract

In this paper we address the topic of guessing games. By developing a generalised theory of naïveté, we show how Güth et al..s result (i.e. convergence toward interior equilibria is faster than convergence toward boundary equilibria) is compatible with Nagel.s theory of boundedly rational behaviour. However, we also show how, under new model parameterisation, neither Güth et al..s story of convergence towards interior equilibria, nor Nagel.s theory of boundedly rational behaviour are verified. We conclude that the results of Nagel (1995) and Güth et al. (2002), however interesting, are severely affected by the ad hoc parameterisation chosen for the game.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche - Università di Bari in its series series with number 0015.

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Length: 16
Date of creation: Feb 2007
Date of revision: Feb 2007
Handle: RePEc:bai:series:wp0015

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Related research
Keywords: Guessing game; p-beauty contest; individual behaviour.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Duffy, John & Nagel, Rosemarie, 1997. "On the Robustness of Behaviour in Experimental "Beauty Contest" Games," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 107(445), pages 1684-1700, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Rosemarie Nagel & Antoni Bosch-Domènech & Albert Satorra & José García Montalvo, 1999. "One, Two, (Three), Infinity: Newspaper and Lab Beauty-Contest Experiments," Economics Working Papers 438, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
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  3. W. Güth & M. Kocher & M. Sutter, . "Experimental Beauty Contests with Homogeneous and Heterogeneous Players and with Interior and Boundary Equilibria," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 2001-45, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
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  4. Nagel, Rosemarie, 1995. "Unraveling in Guessing Games: An Experimental Study," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(5), pages 1313-26, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Andrea, Morone & Piergiuseppe, Morone, 2008. "Boundary and interior equilibria: what drives convergence in a ‘beauty contest’?," MPRA Paper 9584, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Andrea Morone & Serena Sandri & Tobias Uske, 2007. "On the absorbability of the Guessing Game Theory. A Theoretical and Experimental Analysis," series 0017, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche - Università di Bari, revised Apr 2007. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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