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“The Impact of Micro-simulation and CGE modeling on Tax Reform and Tax Advice in Developing Countries”: A Survey of Alternative Approaches and an Application to Pakistan

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Abstract

Computational general equilibrium models (CGE) and micro-simulation models (MSM) each have their own sets of strengths and weaknesses. Both have been widely used for the analysis of fiscal policies in developing countries, and many attempts have been made to link the two models, thereby combining their relative strengths. We survey a broad literature that uses a variety of approaches to apply linked CGE and MSM models to analyze fiscal policies, in particular taxes and tariffs, in developing countries. We conclude that the “top down” approach, in which the aggregate outputs of the CGE model feed into the MSM, is the most commonly used. Nonetheless, a “bottom up” approach, in which the MSM generates estimated parameters, such as effective tax rates, which are then used as inputs to the CGE, may also be quite useful. As an example, we also develop both CGE and MSM models of Pakistan in order to indicate the relative uses of each model, although we have not at this time linked the two models.

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  • Andrew Feltenstein & Luciana Lopes & Janet Porras Mendoza & Sally Wallace, 2013. "“The Impact of Micro-simulation and CGE modeling on Tax Reform and Tax Advice in Developing Countries”: A Survey of Alternative Approaches and an Application to Pakistan," International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU paper1309, International Center for Public Policy, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University.
  • Handle: RePEc:ays:ispwps:paper1309
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    Cited by:

    1. Arip Muttaqien & Denisa Sologon & Cathal O'Donoghue, 2018. "Tax-benefit microsimulation model in developing countries: A feasibility study for an extension of SOUTHMOD in Indonesia," WIDER Working Paper Series 168, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Arip Muttaqien & Denisa Sologon & Cathal O'Donoghue, 2018. "Tax-benefit microsimulation model in developing countries: A feasibility study for an extension of SOUTHMOD in Indonesia," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-168, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    3. Luca Barbone & Misha V. Belkindas & Leon Bettendorf & Richard Bird & Mikhail Bonch-Osmolovskiy & Michael Smart, 2013. "Study to quantify and analyse the VAT Gap in the EU-27 Member States," CASE Network Reports 0116, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    4. Bhattarai, Keshab & Bachman, Paul & Conte, Frank & Haughton, Jonathan & Head, Michael & Tuerck, David G., 2018. "Tax plan debates in the US presidential election: A dynamic CGE analysis of growth and redistribution trade-offs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 529-542.

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    Keywords

    Computable General Equilibrium; Micro-simulation; Fiscal Policy; Pakistan;
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