Beate Fischer () (University of Heidelberg, Alfred-Weber-Institut) Frank Jöst (University of Heidelberg, Alfred-Weber-Institut) Bernd Klauer (Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ) Johannes Schiller (Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ)
Abstract
Land is an essential but limited natural resource. We employ the concept of stocks to analyse driving forces for land-use conversion and to assess, whether the German political “30- hectares-goal” is feasible given the current institutional setting. In this paper major driving forces for land-use conversion are identified and underlying stocks and persistent institutional structures as well as their dynamics are investigated. It will be shown that meeting the 30- hectares-goal is unlikely. We further argue that due to persistent stocks and institutional structures land-use conversion from agricultural into urbanised land takes place on smaller time scales than its reconversion. We conclude that demographic change and regional migration processes may result in further land-use conversion even with declining population. Economic structural change as well as an increasing traffic volume will likewise contribute to further land-use conversion.
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number
0484.
Find related papers by JEL classification: Q24 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Land Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounting R14 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns R52 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Land Use and Other Regulations
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