The long run gains from reductions in distortionary tariffs are robustly positive in neoclassical economies. In the short run, however, depending on the prevailing exchange rate and tax regimes, a combination of producer price deflation and nominal wage stickiness can cause trade liberalisation to be contractionary. Because trade liberalisation, taken alone, reduces the home prices of foreign goods, there is a substitution away from home produced goods and a real depreciation. Under the explicit and de facto fixed exchange rate regimes adopted by many developing countries this necessitates a contractionary producer price deflation. Under the floating exchange rate regimes of the larger industrialised economies, if lost tariff revenue is replaced via a consumption tax increase, contractionary producer price deflation can also occur. This paper examines the implications of these and other policy combinations for the short run gains from trade reform using a comparative static numerical model of a generic, twosector, “almost small” open economy with asset markets and forward looking agents
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Paper provided by Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number
474.
Find related papers by JEL classification: E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
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Dixit, Avinash, 1985.
"Tax policy in open economies,"
Handbook of Public Economics,
in: A. J. Auerbach & M. Feldstein (ed.), Handbook of Public Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 6, pages 313-374
Elsevier.
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