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Individual Post-Retirement Longevity Risk Management Under Systematic Mortality Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Katja Hanewald

    (School of Risk and Actuarial Studies and ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research, Australian School of Business, University of New South Wales)

  • John Piggott

    (ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research, Australian School of Business, University of New South Wales)

  • Michael Sherris

    (School of Risk and Actuarial Studies and ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research, Australian School of Business, University of New South Wales)

Abstract

This paper analyzes an individual's post retirement longevity risk management strategy allowing for systematic longevity risk, recent product innovations, and product loadings. A complete-markets discrete state model and multi-period simulations of portfolio strategies are used to assess individual longevity insurance product portfolios with differing levels of systematic and idiosyncratic longevity risk. Portfolios include: fixed life annuities, deferred annuities, inflation-indexed annuities, phased withdrawals and recently proposed group self-annuitization (GSA) plans.

Suggested Citation

  • Katja Hanewald & John Piggott & Michael Sherris, 2011. "Individual Post-Retirement Longevity Risk Management Under Systematic Mortality Risk," Working Papers 201113, ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR), Australian School of Business, University of New South Wales.
    • Handle: RePEc:asb:wpaper:201113
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Shao, Adam W. & Hanewald, Katja & Sherris, Michael, 2015. "Reverse mortgage pricing and risk analysis allowing for idiosyncratic house price risk and longevity risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 76-90.
    2. Tsai, Pei-Hsuan & Wang, Ying-Wei & Chang, Wen-Chang, 2023. "Hybrid MADM-based study of key risk factors in house-for-pension reverse mortgage lending in Taiwan's banking industry," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    3. Bovenberg, Lans & Nijman, Theo, 2015. "Personal Pensions with Risk Sharing, Affordable, Adequate and Stable Private Pensions in Europe," Other publications TiSEM 847e1615-acc8-4a4d-ac4c-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Berdin, Elia, 2016. "Interest rate risk, longevity risk and the solvency of life insurers," ICIR Working Paper Series 23/16, Goethe University Frankfurt, International Center for Insurance Regulation (ICIR).
    5. Bravo, Jorge Miguel & El Mekkaoui de Freitas, Najat, 2018. "Valuation of longevity-linked life annuities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 212-229.
    6. Chen, An & Guillen, Montserrat & Rach, Manuel, 2021. "Fees in tontines," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 89-106.
    7. Berdin, Elia & Pancaro, Cosimo & Kok Sørensen, Christoffer, 2016. "A stochastic forward-looking model to assess the profitability and solvency of European insurers," ICIR Working Paper Series 21/16, Goethe University Frankfurt, International Center for Insurance Regulation (ICIR).
    8. Lambregts, Timo R. & Schut, Frederik T., 2020. "Displaced, disliked and misunderstood: A systematic review of the reasons for low uptake of long-term care insurance and life annuities," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    9. Chen, Wen & Minney, Aaron & Toscas, Peter & Koo, Bonsoo & Zhu, Zili & Pantelous, Athanasios A., 2021. "Personalised drawdown strategies and partial annuitisation to mitigate longevity risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    10. Bernard, Carole & De Gennaro Aquino, Luca & Levante, Lucia, 2021. "Optimal annuity demand for general expected utility agents," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PA), pages 70-79.
    11. Chen, An & Rach, Manuel, 2023. "Actuarial fairness and social welfare in mixed-cohort tontines," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 214-229.
    12. Nijman, Theo E & Bovenberg, Lans, 2015. "Personal Pensions with Risk sharing: Affordable, Adequate and Stable Private Pensions in Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 10538, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Milevsky, Moshe A. & Salisbury, Thomas S., 2016. "Equitable Retirement Income Tontines: Mixing Cohorts Without Discriminating," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(3), pages 571-604, September.
    14. Ankush Agarwal & Christian-Oliver Ewald & Yongjie Wang, 2023. "Hedging longevity risk in defined contribution pension schemes," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-34, December.
    15. Balter, Anne G. & Kallestrup-Lamb, Malene & Rangvid, Jesper, 2021. "Macro longevity risk and the choice between annuity products: Evidence from Denmark," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 355-362.
    16. Catherine Donnelly, 2013. "Actuarial fairness and solidarity in pooled annuity funds," Papers 1311.5120, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2014.
    17. Thomas Bernhardt & Catherine Donnelly, 2019. "Modern tontine with bequest: innovation in pooled annuity products," Papers 1903.05990, arXiv.org.
    18. Bernhardt, Thomas & Donnelly, Catherine, 2019. "Modern tontine with bequest: Innovation in pooled annuity products," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 168-188.
    19. Gaurav Khemka & Adam Butt, 2017. "Non-Parametric Integral Estimation Using Data Clustering in Stochastic dynamic Programming: An Introduction Using Lifetime Financial Modelling," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-17, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Longevity risk; optimal insurance; life annuity; group self-annuitization (GSA); market frictions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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