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Enhancing Information Use To Improve Predictive Performance In Property Markets

Author

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  • Patrick J. Wilson
  • John Okunev
  • Patrick J. Wilson

Abstract

Pooling the forecast outcomes from different models has been shown by Makridakis (1989), Clement (1989) and others to improve out-of-sample forecast test statistics beyond any of the individual component techniques. As well as conventional combining, a different approach to forecast combination is also followed in this paper viz. we use a method suggested more recently by Ridley (1997, 1999) in which negatively correlated forecasts are combined to see if this offers improved out-of-sample forecasting performance in property markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick J. Wilson & John Okunev & Patrick J. Wilson, 2000. "Enhancing Information Use To Improve Predictive Performance In Property Markets," ERES eres2000_123, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
  • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2000_123
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    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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