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Universal features in the growth dynamics of complex organizations

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  • Youngki Lee
  • Luis A. N. Amaral

    (MIT)

  • David Canning

    (HIID)

  • Martin Meyer
  • H. Eugene Stanley

Abstract

We analyze the fluctuations in the gross domestic product (GDP) of 152 countries for the period 1950--1992. We find that (i) the distribution of annual growth rates for countries of a given GDP decays with ``fatter'' tails than for a Gaussian, and (ii) the width of the distribution scales as a power law of GDP with a scaling exponent $\beta \approx 0.15$. Both findings are in surprising agreement with results on firm growth. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that the evolution of organizations with complex structure is governed by similar growth mechanisms.

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File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/cond-mat/9804100
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Paper provided by arXiv.org in its series Papers with number cond-mat/9804100.

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Date of creation: Apr 1998
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Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:cond-mat/9804100

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Web page: http://arxiv.org/

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