IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1911.10215.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Uniform inference for value functions

Author

Listed:
  • Sergio Firpo
  • Antonio F. Galvao
  • Thomas Parker

Abstract

We propose a method to conduct uniform inference for the (optimal) value function, that is, the function that results from optimizing an objective function marginally over one of its arguments. Marginal optimization is not Hadamard differentiable (that is, compactly differentiable) as a map between the spaces of objective and value functions, which is problematic because standard inference methods for nonlinear maps usually rely on Hadamard differentiability. However, we show that the map from objective function to an $L_p$ functional of a value function, for $1 \leq p \leq \infty$, are Hadamard directionally differentiable. As a result, we establish consistency and weak convergence of nonparametric plug-in estimates of Cram\'er-von Mises and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test statistics applied to value functions. For practical inference, we develop detailed resampling techniques that combine a bootstrap procedure with estimates of the directional derivatives. In addition, we establish local size control of tests which use the resampling procedure. Monte Carlo simulations assess the finite-sample properties of the proposed methods and show accurate empirical size and nontrivial power of the procedures. Finally, we apply our methods to the evaluation of a job training program using bounds for the distribution function of treatment effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergio Firpo & Antonio F. Galvao & Thomas Parker, 2019. "Uniform inference for value functions," Papers 1911.10215, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1911.10215
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1911.10215
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paul Milgrom & Ilya Segal, 2002. "Envelope Theorems for Arbitrary Choice Sets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(2), pages 583-601, March.
    2. Yanqin Fan & Jisong Wu, 2010. "Partial Identification of the Distribution of Treatment Effects in Switching Regime Models and its Confidence Sets," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 77(3), pages 1002-1041.
    3. LaLonde, Robert J, 1986. "Evaluating the Econometric Evaluations of Training Programs with Experimental Data," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(4), pages 604-620, September.
    4. Linton, Oliver & Song, Kyungchul & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2010. "An improved bootstrap test of stochastic dominance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(2), pages 186-202, February.
    5. Donald W. K. Andrews & Xiaoxia Shi, 2013. "Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(2), pages 609-666, March.
    6. Victor Chernozhukov & Sokbae Lee & Adam M. Rosen, 2013. "Intersection Bounds: Estimation and Inference," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(2), pages 667-737, March.
    7. Oliver Linton & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Yoon-Jae Whang, 2005. "Consistent Testing for Stochastic Dominance under General Sampling Schemes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 72(3), pages 735-765.
    8. A. Smith, Jeffrey & E. Todd, Petra, 2005. "Does matching overcome LaLonde's critique of nonexperimental estimators?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 125(1-2), pages 305-353.
    9. Sergio Firpo, 2007. "Efficient Semiparametric Estimation of Quantile Treatment Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(1), pages 259-276, January.
    10. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson & Kenichi Nagasawa, 2020. "Bootstrap‐Based Inference for Cube Root Asymptotics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(5), pages 2203-2219, September.
    11. Guildo W. Imbens, 2003. "Sensitivity to Exogeneity Assumptions in Program Evaluation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(2), pages 126-132, May.
    12. Abbring, Jaap H. & Heckman, James J., 2007. "Econometric Evaluation of Social Programs, Part III: Distributional Treatment Effects, Dynamic Treatment Effects, Dynamic Discrete Choice, and General Equilibrium Policy Evaluation," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 6, chapter 72, Elsevier.
    13. Bucher, Axel & Segers, Johan & Volgushev, Stanislav, 2014. "When uniform weak convergence fails: empirical processes for dependence functions via epi- and hypographs," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2014018, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    14. Yanqin Fan & Robert Sherman & Matthew Shum, 2014. "Identifying Treatment Effects Under Data Combination," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82(2), pages 811-822, March.
    15. Tamer, Elie, 2010. "Partial Identification in Econometrics," Scholarly Articles 34728615, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    16. Andrew Chesher & Adam M. Rosen, 2021. "Counterfactual Worlds," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 142, pages 311-335.
    17. Lee, Sokbae & Song, Kyungchul & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2018. "Testing For A General Class Of Functional Inequalities," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(5), pages 1018-1064, October.
    18. Andrews, Donald W.K. & Shi, Xiaoxia, 2017. "Inference based on many conditional moment inequalities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 275-287.
    19. Guido W. Imbens & Charles F. Manski, 2004. "Confidence Intervals for Partially Identified Parameters," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(6), pages 1845-1857, November.
    20. James J. Heckman & Jeffrey Smith & Nancy Clements, 1997. "Making The Most Out Of Programme Evaluations and Social Experiments: Accounting For Heterogeneity in Programme Impacts," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 64(4), pages 487-535.
    21. Heckman, J.J. & Hotz, V.J., 1988. "Choosing Among Alternative Nonexperimental Methods For Estimating The Impact Of Social Programs: The Case Of Manpower Training," University of Chicago - Economics Research Center 88-12, Chicago - Economics Research Center.
    22. Tetsuya Kaji, 2019. "Asymptotic Theory of $L$-Statistics and Integrable Empirical Processes," Papers 1910.07572, arXiv.org.
    23. Andrews, Donald W.K. & Guggenberger, Patrik, 2010. "ASYMPTOTIC SIZE AND A PROBLEM WITH SUBSAMPLING AND WITH THE m OUT OF n BOOTSTRAP," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(2), pages 426-468, April.
    24. Petra E. Todd & Jeffrey A. Smith, 2001. "Reconciling Conflicting Evidence on the Performance of Propensity-Score Matching Methods," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 112-118, May.
    25. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson & Kenichi Nagasawa, 2017. "Bootstrap-Based Inference for Cube Root Consistent Estimators," CREATES Research Papers 2017-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    26. Matthew A. Masten & Alexandre Poirier, 2020. "Inference on breakdown frontiers," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(1), pages 41-111, January.
    27. Joshua Angrist & Victor Chernozhukov & Iván Fernández-Val, 2006. "Quantile Regression under Misspecification, with an Application to the U.S. Wage Structure," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(2), pages 539-563, March.
    28. Cho, Jin Seo & White, Halbert, 2018. "Directionally Differentiable Econometric Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(5), pages 1101-1131, October.
    29. Hong, Han & Li, Jessie, 2018. "The numerical delta method," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(2), pages 379-394.
    30. Elie Tamer, 2010. "Partial Identification in Econometrics," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 2(1), pages 167-195, September.
    31. Chen, Qihui & Fang, Zheng, 2019. "Inference on functionals under first order degeneracy," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 459-481.
    32. Yanqin Fan & Sang Soo Park, 2009. "Partial identification of the distribution of treatment effects and its confidence sets," Advances in Econometrics, in: Nonparametric Econometric Methods, pages 3-70, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    33. Fan, Yanqin & Park, Sang Soo, 2010. "Sharp Bounds On The Distribution Of Treatment Effects And Their Statistical Inference," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(3), pages 931-951, June.
    34. Qihui Chen & Zheng Fang, 2019. "Inference on Functionals under First Order Degeneracy," Papers 1901.04861, arXiv.org.
    35. Charalambos D. Aliprantis & Kim C. Border, 2006. "Infinite Dimensional Analysis," Springer Books, Springer, edition 0, number 978-3-540-29587-7, September.
    36. Zheng Fang & Andres Santos, 2019. "Inference on Directionally Differentiable Functions," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 86(1), pages 377-412.
    37. Fan, Yanqin & Guerre, Emmanuel & Zhu, Dongming, 2017. "Partial identification of functionals of the joint distribution of “potential outcomes”," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 42-59.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sungwon Lee, 2021. "Partial Identification and Inference for Conditional Distributions of Treatment Effects," Papers 2108.00723, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Callaway, Brantly, 2021. "Bounds on distributional treatment effect parameters using panel data with an application on job displacement," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 861-881.
    2. Firpo, Sergio & Galvao, Antonio F. & Kobus, Martyna & Parker, Thomas & Rosa-Dias, Pedro, 2020. "Loss Aversion and the Welfare Ranking of Policy Interventions," IZA Discussion Papers 13176, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Guido W. Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2009. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 5-86, March.
    4. Sungwon Lee, 2024. "Partial identification and inference for conditional distributions of treatment effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 107-127, January.
    5. Donald, Stephen G. & Hsu, Yu-Chin, 2014. "Estimation and inference for distribution functions and quantile functions in treatment effect models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 383-397.
    6. Wenlong Ji & Lihua Lei & Asher Spector, 2023. "Model-Agnostic Covariate-Assisted Inference on Partially Identified Causal Effects," Papers 2310.08115, arXiv.org.
    7. John Mullahy, 2017. "Individual Results May Vary: Elementary Analytics of Inequality-Probability Bounds, with Applications to Health-Outcome Treatment Effects," NBER Working Papers 23603, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Sungwon Lee, 2021. "Partial Identification and Inference for Conditional Distributions of Treatment Effects," Papers 2108.00723, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    9. Mullahy, John, 2018. "Individual results may vary: Inequality-probability bounds for some health-outcome treatment effects," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 151-162.
    10. Fan, Yanqin & Guerre, Emmanuel & Zhu, Dongming, 2017. "Partial identification of functionals of the joint distribution of “potential outcomes”," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 42-59.
    11. Sokbae Lee & Yoon-Jae Whang, 2009. "Nonparametric Tests of Conditional Treatment Effects," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1740, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    12. Fan, Yanqin & Park, Sang Soo, 2012. "Confidence intervals for the quantile of treatment effects in randomized experiments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(2), pages 330-344.
    13. Chen, Le-Yu & Lee, Sokbae, 2019. "Breaking the curse of dimensionality in conditional moment inequalities for discrete choice models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 482-497.
    14. Francesca Molinari, 2020. "Microeconometrics with Partial Identi?cation," CeMMAP working papers CWP15/20, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    15. Yuan Liao & Anna Simoni, 2012. "Semi-parametric Bayesian Partially Identified Models based on Support Function," Papers 1212.3267, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2013.
    16. Lee, Kyungho & Linton, Oliver & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2023. "Testing for time stochastic dominance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 352-371.
    17. Matthew A. Masten & Alexandre Poirier, 2020. "Inference on breakdown frontiers," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(1), pages 41-111, January.
    18. Semenova, Vira, 2023. "Debiased machine learning of set-identified linear models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1725-1746.
    19. Lee, K. & Linton, O. & Whang, Y-J., 2020. "Testing for Time Stochastic Dominance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20121, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    20. Wooyoung Kim & Koohyun Kwon & Soonwoo Kwon & Sokbae (Simon) Lee, 2014. "The identification power of smoothness assumptions in models with counterfactual outcomes," CeMMAP working papers 17/14, Institute for Fiscal Studies.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1911.10215. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.