A Dynamical Model for Operational Risk in Banks
AbstractOperational risk is the risk relative to monetary losses caused by failures of bank internal processes due to heterogeneous causes. A dynamical model including both spontaneous generation of losses and generation via interactions between different processes is presented; the efforts made by the bank to avoid the occurrence of losses is also taken into account. Under certain hypotheses, the model can be exactly solved and, in principle, the solution can be exploited to estimate most of the model parameters from real data. The forecasting power of the model is also investigated and proved to be surprisingly remarkable.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by arXiv.org in its series Papers with number 1207.6186.
Date of creation: Jul 2012
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Publication status: Published in Proceedings of the International School of Physics "Enrico Fermi" 176 (2012), pp. 399-403
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Web page: http://arxiv.org/
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2012-08-23 (All new papers)
- NEP-BAN-2012-08-23 (Banking)
- NEP-CBA-2012-08-23 (Central Banking)
- NEP-RMG-2012-08-23 (Risk Management)
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