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Security Pricing with Information-Sensitive Discounting

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  • Andrea Macrina
  • Priyanka A. Parbhoo
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    Abstract

    In this paper incomplete-information models are developed for the pricing of securities in a stochastic interest rate setting. In particular we consider credit-risky assets that may include random recovery upon default. The market filtration is generated by a collection of information processes associated with economic factors, on which interest rates depend, and information processes associated with market factors used to model the cash flows of the securities. We use information-sensitive pricing kernels to give rise to stochastic interest rates. Semi-analytical expressions for the price of credit-risky bonds are derived, and a number of recovery models are constructed which take into account the perceived state of the economy at the time of default. The price of European-style call bond options is deduced, and it is shown how examples of hybrid securities, like inflation-linked credit-risky bonds, can be valued. Finally, a cumulative information process is employed to develop pricing kernels that respond to the amount of aggregate debt of an economy.

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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1001.3570
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by arXiv.org in its series Papers with number 1001.3570.

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    Date of creation: Jan 2010
    Date of revision: Jun 2010
    Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1001.3570

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    Web page: http://arxiv.org/

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    1. Jiro Akahori & Andrea Macrina, 2010. "Heat Kernel Interest Rate Models with Time-Inhomogeneous Markov Processes," Papers 1012.1878, arXiv.org.
    2. L. C. G. Rogers, 1997. "The Potential Approach to the Term Structure of Interest Rates and Foreign Exchange Rates," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(2), pages 157-176.
    3. Robert A. Jarrow, 2009. "Credit Risk Models," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 1(1), pages 37-68, November.
    4. Lane P. Hughston & Andrea Macrina, 2009. "Pricing Fixed-Income Securities in an Information-Based Framework," Papers 0911.1610, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2010.
    5. Jiro Akahori & Yuji Hishida & Josef Teichmann & Takahiro Tsuchiya, 2009. "A Heat Kernel Approach to Interest Rate Models," Papers 0910.5033, arXiv.org.
    6. Hinnerich, Mia, 2008. "Inflation-indexed swaps and swaptions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(11), pages 2293-2306, November.
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    Cited by:
    1. Hoyle, Edward & Hughston, Lane P. & Macrina, Andrea, 2011. "Lévy random bridges and the modelling of financial information," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(4), pages 856-884, April.

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