IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/0911.3472.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Les G\'en\'erateurs de Sc\'enarios \'Economiques : quelle utilisation en assurance?

Author

Listed:
  • Alaeddine Faleh

    (SAF)

  • Fr'ed'eric Planchet

    (SAF)

  • Didier Rulli`ere

    (SAF)

Abstract

In this paper, we present the principal components of an economic scenario generator (ESG), both for the theoretical design and for practical implementation. The choice of these components should be linked to the ultimate vocation of the economic scenario generator, which can be either a tool for pricing financial products or a tool for projection and risk management. We then develop a study on some performance measure indicators of the ESG as an input for the decision-making process, namely the indicators of stability and bias absence. Finally, a numerical application illustrates the main ideas of the paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Alaeddine Faleh & Fr'ed'eric Planchet & Didier Rulli`ere, 2009. "Les G\'en\'erateurs de Sc\'enarios \'Economiques : quelle utilisation en assurance?," Papers 0911.3472, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0911.3472
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/0911.3472
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John Y. Campbell & Yeung Lewis Chanb & M. Viceira, 2013. "A multivariate model of strategic asset allocation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part II, chapter 39, pages 809-848, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Brennan, Michael J. & Schwartz, Eduardo S., 1982. "An Equilibrium Model of Bond Pricing and a Test of Market Efficiency," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(3), pages 301-329, September.
    3. Smith, A.D., 1996. "How Actuaries Can Use Financial Economics," British Actuarial Journal, Cambridge University Press, vol. 2(5), pages 1057-1193, December.
    4. John C. Cox & Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 2005. "A Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 5, pages 129-164, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Kouwenberg, Roy, 2001. "Scenario generation and stochastic programming models for asset liability management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 279-292, October.
    6. Mary Hardy, 2001. "A Regime-Switching Model of Long-Term Stock Returns," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 41-53.
    7. Dyson, A.C.L. & Exley, C.J., 1995. "Pension Fund Asset Valuation and Investment," British Actuarial Journal, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(5), pages 965-977, December.
    8. Ho, Thomas S Y & Lee, Sang-bin, 1986. "Term Structure Movements and Pricing Interest Rate Contingent Claims," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(5), pages 1011-1029, December.
    9. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    10. Jitka Dupačová & Giorgio Consigli & Stein Wallace, 2000. "Scenarios for Multistage Stochastic Programs," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 100(1), pages 25-53, December.
    11. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    12. Dyson, A.C.L. & Exley, C.J., 1995. "Pension Fund Asset Valuation and Investment," British Actuarial Journal, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(3), pages 471-557, August.
    13. Wilhelm, Jochen & Nietert, Bernhard, 2004. "Non-Negativity of Nominal and Real Riskless Rates, Arbitrage Theory, and the Null-Alternative Cash," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Betriebswirtschaftliche Reihe 11, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alaeddine Faleh & Frédéric Planchet & Didier Rullière, 2010. "Les générateurs de Scénarios Économiques : de la conception à la mesure de la qualité," Post-Print hal-00530868, HAL.
    2. Alaeddine Faleh & Frédéric Planchet & Didier Rullière, 2010. "Les Générateurs de Scénarios Économiques : quelle utilisation en assurance ?," Post-Print hal-00433037, HAL.
    3. Bjork, Tomas, 2009. "Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 3, number 9780199574742.
    4. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    5. Chenghu Ma, 2003. "Term Structure of Interest Rates in the Presence of Levy Jumps: The HJM Approach," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 4(2), pages 401-426, November.
    6. Suresh M. Sundaresan, 2000. "Continuous‐Time Methods in Finance: A Review and an Assessment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1569-1622, August.
    7. Lin, Shih-Kuei & Wang, Shin-Yun & Chen, Carl R. & Xu, Lian-Wen, 2017. "Pricing Range Accrual Interest Rate Swap employing LIBOR market models with jump risks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 359-373.
    8. Boero, G. & Torricelli, C., 1996. "A comparative evaluation of alternative models of the term structure of interest rates," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 205-223, August.
    9. Juan M. Moraleda & Ton Vorst, 1996. "The Valuation of Interest Rate Derivatives: Empirical Evidence from the Spanish Market," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 96-170/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    10. Ram Bhar & Carl Chiarella & Thuy-Duong To, 2004. "Estimating the Volatility Structure of an Arbitrage-Free Interest Rate Model Via the Futures Markets," Finance 0409003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Ravi Kashyap, 2016. "Options as Silver Bullets: Valuation of Term Loans, Inventory Management, Emissions Trading and Insurance Risk Mitigation using Option Theory," Papers 1609.01274, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    12. Constantin Mellios, 2001. "Valuation of Interest Rate Options in a Two-Factor Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rate," Working Papers 2001-1, Laboratoire Orléanais de Gestion - université d'Orléans.
    13. Josheski Dushko & Apostolov Mico, 2021. "Equilibrium Short-Rate Models Vs No-Arbitrage Models: Literature Review and Computational Examples," Econometrics. Advances in Applied Data Analysis, Sciendo, vol. 25(3), pages 42-71, September.
    14. Peterson, Sandra & Stapleton, Richard C. & Subrahmanyam, Marti G., 2003. "A Multifactor Spot Rate Model for the Pricing of Interest Rate Derivatives," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 38(4), pages 847-880, December.
    15. Arismendi-Zambrano, Juan & Belitsky, Vladimir & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim & Kimura, Herbert, 2022. "The implications of dependence, tail dependence, and bounds’ measures for counterparty credit risk pricing," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    16. Mondher Bellalah, 2009. "Derivatives, Risk Management & Value," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 7175, January.
    17. Carl Chiarella & Xue-Zhong He & Christina Sklibosios Nikitopoulos, 2015. "Derivative Security Pricing," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, Springer, edition 127, number 978-3-662-45906-5, July-Dece.
    18. Vetzal, Kenneth R., 1997. "Stochastic volatility, movements in short term interest rates, and bond option values," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 169-196, February.
    19. Mark Broadie & Jerome B. Detemple, 2004. "ANNIVERSARY ARTICLE: Option Pricing: Valuation Models and Applications," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1145-1177, September.
    20. Emmanuelle Clément & Christian Gourieroux & Alain Monfort, 1995. "Linear Factor Models and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 40, pages 37-65.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0911.3472. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.