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Are volatility estimators robust with respect to modeling assumptions?

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  • Yingying Li
  • Per A. Mykland

Abstract

We consider microstructure as an arbitrary contamination of the underlying latent securities price, through a Markov kernel $Q$. Special cases include additive error, rounding and combinations thereof. Our main result is that, subject to smoothness conditions, the two scales realized volatility is robust to the form of contamination $Q$. To push the limits of our result, we show what happens for some models that involve rounding (which is not, of course, smooth) and see in this situation how the robustness deteriorates with decreasing smoothness. Our conclusion is that under reasonable smoothness, one does not need to consider too closely how the microstructure is formed, while if severe non-smoothness is suspected, one needs to pay attention to the precise structure and also the use to which the estimator of volatility will be put.

Suggested Citation

  • Yingying Li & Per A. Mykland, 2007. "Are volatility estimators robust with respect to modeling assumptions?," Papers 0709.0440, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0709.0440
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zhang, Lan & Mykland, Per A. & Ait-Sahalia, Yacine, 2005. "A Tale of Two Time Scales: Determining Integrated Volatility With Noisy High-Frequency Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 1394-1411, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Yingying & Zhang, Zhiyuan & Li, Yichu, 2018. "A unified approach to volatility estimation in the presence of both rounding and random market microstructure noise," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 187-222.
    2. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Jean Jacod, 2012. "Analyzing the Spectrum of Asset Returns: Jump and Volatility Components in High Frequency Data," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1007-1050, December.
    3. Chen, Richard Y. & Mykland, Per A., 2017. "Model-free approaches to discern non-stationary microstructure noise and time-varying liquidity in high-frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 200(1), pages 79-103.
    4. Jie Xiong & Yong Zeng, 2011. "A branching particle approximation to a filtering micromovement model of asset price," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 111-140, May.
    5. Xiu, Dacheng, 2010. "Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of volatility with high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 235-250, November.
    6. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Jacod, Jean & Li, Jia, 2012. "Testing for jumps in noisy high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(2), pages 207-222.
    7. Li, Y-N. & Chen, J. & Linton, O., 2021. "Estimation of Common Factors for Microstructure Noise and Efficient Price in a High-frequency Dual Factor Model," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2150, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    8. Jacod, Jean & Li, Yingying & Mykland, Per A. & Podolskij, Mark & Vetter, Mathias, 2009. "Microstructure noise in the continuous case: The pre-averaging approach," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(7), pages 2249-2276, July.
    9. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Fan, Jianqing & Li, Yingying, 2013. "The leverage effect puzzle: Disentangling sources of bias at high frequency," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 224-249.
    10. Kalnina, Ilze & Linton, Oliver, 2008. "Estimating quadratic variation consistently in the presence of endogenous and diurnal measurement error," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 47-59, November.
    11. Jean Jacod & Yingying Li & Per A. Mykland & Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2007. "Microstructure Noise in the Continuous Case: The Pre-Averaging Approach - JLMPV-9," CREATES Research Papers 2007-43, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    12. Jianqing Fan & Yingying Li & Ke Yu, 2012. "Vast Volatility Matrix Estimation Using High-Frequency Data for Portfolio Selection," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(497), pages 412-428, March.
    13. Xinghua Zheng & Yingying Li, 2010. "On the estimation of integrated covariance matrices of high dimensional diffusion processes," Papers 1005.1862, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2012.
    14. Li, Yingying & Xie, Shangyu & Zheng, Xinghua, 2016. "Efficient estimation of integrated volatility incorporating trading information," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 195(1), pages 33-50.
    15. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Mykland, Per A. & Zhang, Lan, 2011. "Ultra high frequency volatility estimation with dependent microstructure noise," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 160-175, January.
    16. Richard Y. Chen & Per A. Mykland, 2015. "Model-Free Approaches to Discern Non-Stationary Microstructure Noise and Time-Varying Liquidity in High-Frequency Data," Papers 1512.06159, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
    17. Jean Jacod & Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2008. "Intertemporal Asset Allocation with Habit Formation in Preferences: An Approximate Analytical Solution," CREATES Research Papers 2008-61, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    18. Li, Yingying & Zhang, Zhiyuan & Zheng, Xinghua, 2013. "Volatility inference in the presence of both endogenous time and microstructure noise," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 2696-2727.

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