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Does one size fit all? A Taylor-rule based analysis of monetary policy for current and future EMU members

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  • MOONS, Cindy
  • VAN POECK, André

Abstract

This paper uses the Taylor rule to examine the appropriateness of ECB interest rate policy for the initial EMU members and the ten new EMU member states some of whom are expected to join the Eurozone in 2006-7. Specifically it addresses three questions. (1) Are there differences between the interest rate aggregated from the Taylor interest rates of individual member states in the euro area and the interest rate set by the ECB? (2) For which countries do the desired interest rates according to the original Taylor rule and the interest rate of the euro area differ most and in which respect? (3) The last question is whether the interest rate gaps change over time. We find that the ECB’s policy does not fit individual EMU members equally well and this result is unlikely to be changed with the addition of the ten new members, which will have only a marginal effect on the ECB interest rate stance.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Antwerp, Faculty of Applied Economics in its series Working Papers with number 2005026.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ant:wpaper:2005026

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Postal: Prinsstraat 13, B-2000 Antwerpen
Web page: https://www.uantwerp.be/en/faculties/applied-economic-sciences/
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Cited by:
  1. Jarko Fidrmuc & Roman Horváth & Eva Horváthová, 2010. "Corporate Interest Rates and the Financial Accelerator in the Czech Republic," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 46(4), pages 41-54, January.
  2. VAN POECK, André, 2009. "One money and fifteen needs inflation and output convergence in the European Monetary Union," Working Papers 2009001, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Applied Economics.
  3. Hamza Bennani, 2012. "National influences inside the ECB: an assessment from central bankers' statements," Working Papers hal-00992646, HAL.
  4. Damian, Monica, 2011. "Implicații ale pierderii autonomiei politicii monetare asupra procesului inflaționist," MPRA Paper 35061, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. M. Frömmel & G. Garabedian & F. Schobert, 2009. "Monetary Policy Rules in Central and Eastern European Countries: Does the Exchange Rate Matter?," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 09/611, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
  6. Jerger, Jürgen & Röhe, Oke, 2009. "Testing for Parameter Stability in DSGE Models. The Cases of France, Germany and Spain," University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems 453, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics.

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