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Convergência Regional Revisitada: Uma Análise Em Equilíbrio Geral Para O Brasil

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Author Info
Pedro Jucá Maciel
Joaquim Andrade
Vladimir Kuhl Teles

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Abstract

This article aims to apply a dynamic general-equilibrium model to Brazilian regional economics based on a version of "augmented" neoclassical economic growth model of Mankiw, Romer and Weil [QJE, 1992] using computational simulation. The results reach a trend of spatial concentration and formation of two steady states of incomes of the Brazilians regions: poor and rich. The South and Center-West regions tend to get the per capita income of the richest region, the Southeast. On the other hand, the poorest regions, Northeast and North, do not tend to change substantially their per capita income dynamic. The Northeast and North remains at an inferior level of per capita income 3,2 and 2,4 times respectively of the others regions. Subsequently, the article conducts a sensibility analysis of the dynamic to technological shock on the poorest regions, detecting a possible reversion of that tendency.

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File URL: http://www.anpec.org.br/encontro2005/artigos/A05A127.pdf
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Paper provided by ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] in its series Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33th Brazilian Economics Meeting] with number 127.

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Date of creation: 2005
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Handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:127

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R10 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General
R11 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Analysis of Growth, Development, and Changes
R12 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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