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Crescimento Econômico De Longo Prazo Na China: Uma Investigação Econométrica

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Author Info
Flávio Vilela Vieira
Michele Polline Veríssimo

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Abstract

The main goal os this paper is to understand on theoretical and empirical grounds the main determinants of China´s long-run economic growth. The historical data analysis suggests a crucial role played by FDI and the exchange rate. The econometric analysis provides empirical support for the primary role played by the exchange rate in explaining China´s economic growth (1970 to 2003) followed by FDI, investment rate and trade opennesss. Exchange rate policy and regime seems to be a direct road to explain (past and future) economic growth in China and the conditions for increasing exchange rate flexibility, an almost sure path for the near future.

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Paper provided by ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] in its series Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33th Brazilian Economics Meeting] with number 067.

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Date of creation: 2005
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Handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:067

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O40 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
O53 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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    Other versions:
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    Other versions:
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