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Are Business Cycles All Alike In Europe?

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Author Info

  • Márcio Antônio Salvato
  • João Victor Issler
  • Angelo Mont'alverne Duarte

Abstract

We investigate whether business cycles are all alike computing the welfare costs of business cycles for European-Union (EU) as the solution of the problem proposed by Lucas (1987). Because these countries have a long tradition of integration and trade, it is a "natural experiment" to investigate how similar their welfare costs of business cycles are. Using standard assumptions on preferences and a reasonable reduced form for consumption, we computed welfare costs using three alternative trend-cycle decomposition methods, but focusing on the multivariate Beveridge-Nelson decomposition. Our results show that welfare costs are very different across EU countries and between US and EU countries, and thus it is a strong evidence that business cycles are not alike in Europe.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] in its series Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33th Brazilian Economics Meeting] with number 031.

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Date of creation: 2005
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Handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:031

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  1. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2003. "On the welfare costs of business cycles in the 20th century," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 481, FGV/EPGE Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
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Cited by:
  1. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2012. "On the Welfare Costs of Business-Cycle Fluctuations and Economic-Growth Variation in the 20th Century," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 735, FGV/EPGE Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  2. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2013. "On the Welfare Costs of Business-Cycle Fluctuations and Economic-Growth Variation in the 20th Century and Beyond," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 748, FGV/EPGE Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  3. Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes & Leandro Gonçalves do Nascimento, 2004. "A Welfare Analysis Of Economic Fluctuations In South America," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 045, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

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