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Money Supply, Food Prices and Manufactured Product Prices: A Causality Analysis for Pakistan Economy

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Author Info

  • Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye

    ()
    (; AERCK, University of Karachi, Pakistan)

  • Asghar Ali

    (; AERCK, University of Karachi, Pakistan)

Abstract

This pioneer research for Pakistan uses monthly time series data for the period of 1997-1 to 2008-4 to determine the causal relationship between the money supply, food prices and manufactured product prices in developing country like Pakistan. Empirical analysis is performed by using the ARDL and Toda Yamamoto causality test. The results show that the bidirectional causality between the food prices and money supply and unidirectional causality from money supply to manufactured product prices. On the other hand there is no causal relationship between the food prices and manufactured product prices. The important finding of this study is that food prices response faster then the manufactured product prices to a change in money supply in the Pakistan.

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File URL: http://orp.aiub.edu/FileZone/OtherFiles/orpadmin-8589994138230188309/AIUB-BUS-ECON-2009-03.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by American International University-Bangladesh, Office of Research and Publications (ORP) in its series AIUB Bus Econ Working Paper Series with number AIUB-BUS-ECON-2009-03.

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Length: 19
Date of creation: Feb 2009
Date of revision: Feb 2009
Handle: RePEc:aiu:abewps:78

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  1. Yamada, Hiroshi & Toda, Hiro Y., 1998. "Inference in possibly integrated vector autoregressive models: some finite sample evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 55-95, June.
  2. Mathew D. Shane & William M. Liefert, 2000. "The International Financial Criss: Macroeconomic Linkages to Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 82(3), pages 682-687.
  3. Sayed H. Saghaian & Michael R. Reed & Mary A. Marchant, 2002. "Monetary Impacts and Overshooting of Agricultural Prices in an Open Economy," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 84(1), pages 90-103.
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