Currency Regime Choice: A Survey of Empirical Literature
AbstractThis paper reviews the empirical literature on the choice of exchange rate regime. Prominent issues include: (i) the choice based on fundamentals, shocks, financial structure, and political ideology; (ii) the “bipolar view” or “hollowing out hypothesis” and its validity; (iii) regime choice in emerging economies, and (iv) the discrepancy between declared and actual regime, and its consequence on the analysis of currency regime choice. Although much has been learned in each approach, this survey highlights the areas of research in which our understanding of exchange rate regime transition is still incomplete. Observed data rejects the validity of the bipolar view. Moreover, it is seen that a substantial amount of countries diverge from their de jure regime without declaration, which needs to be taken into account for drawing a valid conclusion on the choice of a regime. From the survey it may be concluded that no empirical regularities regarding the choice of a currency regime have emerged yet.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by American International University-Bangladesh, Office of Research and Publications (ORP) in its series AIUB Bus Econ Working Paper Series with number AIUB-BUS-ECON-2008-11.
Date of creation: Apr 2008
Date of revision: Apr 2008
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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2008-04-15 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2008-04-15 (Central Banking)
- NEP-MON-2008-04-15 (Monetary Economics)
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