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The Relationship Between Exports, Credit Risk And Credit Guarantees

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Author Info
Rienstra-Munnicha, Paul
Turvey, Calum
Abstract

This paper provides an understanding of how the export credit worthiness of an importing country affects export sales of agricultural and other manufactured products and how export credit guarantees or insurance can mitigate risks of non-payment. A theoretical model is developed. It shows how risk mitigation through export credit insurance could increase exports to high risk importing countries. The key result is that the export response curve is more inelastic in the presence of payment risk, and the effect of insurance is to make the export curve more elastic. Statistical evidence supports this fundamental premise.

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File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34115
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Guelph, Department of Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics in its series Working Papers with number 34115.

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Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:ags:uguewp:34115

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Web page: http://fare.uoguelph.ca/
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Related research
Keywords: International Relations/Trade;

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  1. Filip Abraham & Gerda Dewit, 2000. "Export Promotion Via Official Export Insurance," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 5-26, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Anderson, James E & Riley, John G, 1976. "International Trade with Fluctuating Prices," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 17(1), pages 76-97, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Eaton, Jonathan, 1979. "The Allocation of Resources in an Open Economy with Uncertain Terms of Trade," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 20(2), pages 391-403, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Ruffin, Roy J., 1974. "International trade under uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 243-259, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Grinols, Earl L, 1985. "Trade, Distortions, and Welfare under Uncertainty," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 37(3), pages 362-74, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Gerda Dewit, 1996. "Export Insurance Subsidisation: Risk Coverage, Strategic Export Promotion or Aid?," Working Papers 9614, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-26.

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