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O Efeito Das Importações Mundiais Sobre As Exportações Do Agronegócio Brasileiro – Uma Análise Empírica Para O Período 2000/2007

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  • Spolador, Humberto Francisco Silva
  • Barros, Geraldo Sant'Ana de Camargo
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    Abstract

    Ao longo do período 2000/2007 o setor externo do agronegócio brasileiro encontrou uma conjuntura altamente favorável para o aumento de suas exportações, pois se combinou uma situação de forte expansão da economia mundial com elevação dos preços internacionais de commodities. No âmbito interno, os ganhos de produtividade permitiram o avanço das exportações, enquanto que a valorização cambial, iniciada em meados de 2004, praticamente eliminou os efeitos positivos da elevação dos preços internacionais. Esse trabalho mostra que, a despeito dos efeitos negativos da valorização cambial, o crescimento das importações mundiais teve efeito relevante (em torno de 20%) no aumento das exportações brasileiras do agronegócio entre os anos de 2000 e 2007.-----------------------------------------------Over the period 2000/2007 the external sector of Brazilian agribusiness found a favorable environment to increase their exports, which combined a situation of strong expansion of the world economy with elevation in international commodities prices. On the domestic front, productivity gains enabled the progress of exports, while the exchange rate overvaluation, which began in mid-2004, virtually eliminated the positive effects of the international prices increasing. This work shows that, despite the negative effects of exchange rate overvaluation, the growth of world imports took relevant effect (around 20%) on the Brazilian agribusiness exports evolution on the period from 2000 to 2007.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Sociedade Brasileira de Economia, Administracao e Sociologia Rural (SOBER) in its series 46th Congress, July 20-23, 2008, Rio Branco, Acre, Brasil with number 109811.

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    Date of creation: Jul 2008
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    Handle: RePEc:ags:sbrfsr:109811

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    Keywords: Importações mundiais; taxa de câmbio; exportações do agronegócio; World imports; exchange rate; agribusiness exports; Agribusiness; International Relations/Trade;

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