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A Influência Da Produção Interna E Das Importações Orizícolas Do Mercosul No Preço Interno Do Arroz Com Casca

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  • Sonaglio, Claudia Maria
  • Zamberlan, Carlos Otavio
  • Coronel, Daniel Arruda
  • Silva, Angelita Freitas Da
  • Farias, Giuliana Mendonca De
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    Abstract

    O setor primário brasileiro é de grande importância para sua economia e a lavoura orizícola gaúcha está inserida nesse contexto, também com grande relevância, pois tem significativo número de produtores que auferem seus rendimentos dessa atividade. Entretanto, há uma redução de rentabilidade no setor atribuída às Importações Mercosulinas que, alegam os produtores brasileiros, pressionam os preços internos. Também, o crescimento da produção interna pode causar o mesmo efeito. Esse trabalho busca provar que o arroz importado do Mercosul e a Produção Gaúcha de arroz exercem influencia no preço interno e que as relações entre as variáveis ocorrem de forma curvilinear e não podem ser analisadas por métodos lineares. Para tanto, fez-se uso da estatística descritiva, análise de correlação e de modelos de regressão Linear, semi-Logarítmica, Quadrática e Cúbica. Concluiu-se que existem influências entre as variáveis e que as relações são lineares para produção e preços e curvilíneas para importações e preços.----------------------------------The primary Brazilian sector is of great importance for its economy and the rice farming of Rio Grande do Sul is inserted in this context, also, with a great relevance because it has a significant number of producers that have profits from this activity. However, there is a reduction of profitability in the sector due to the Imports Mercosulinas that press the internal prices, according to the Brazilian producers. Also, the growth of the internal production may cause the same effect. This paper aim to prove that the imported rice from Mercosur and the rice production from Rio Grande do Sul have influence on the internal price and that the relations between the variables take place in the curvilinear form and cannot be analyzed by linear methods. For this, it was used descriptive statistic, analysis of correlation and of models of linear, semi-logarithmic, quadratic and cubic regression. It was concluded that there are influences between the variables and that the relations are linear for production and prices and curvilinear for imports and prices.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Sociedade Brasileira de Economia, Administracao e Sociologia Rural (SOBER) in its series 46th Congress, July 20-23, 2008, Rio Branco, Acre, Brasil with number 108563.

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    Date of creation: Jul 2008
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    Handle: RePEc:ags:sbrfsr:108563

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    Web page: http://www.sober.org.br/
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    Keywords: Mercosul; setor orizícola; preço; Mercosur; orizícula sector; price; Crop Production/Industries;

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