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Expected Changes in China's Grain and Oilseed Industries and Implications for the U.S. and World Agriculture

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  • Taylor, Richard D.
  • Koo, Won W.
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    Abstract

    A spatial optimization model was developed to analyze the impacts of structural changes in China’s consumption of wheat, corn, rice, and soybeans on its agricultural sector and world agricultural trade. The model included 16 exporting and importing countries and regions. China was divided into 31 provinces and the United States into 24 producing regions and 10 consuming regions. The model optimizes agricultural production and distribution systems to meet the predicted demand for grains and oilseeds in 2020 under several assumptions associated with technical progress in producing the grains and oilseeds in China, the United States, and other countries.

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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51991
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics in its series Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report with number 51991.

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    Date of creation: Feb 2009
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    Handle: RePEc:ags:nddaae:51991

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    Keywords: spatial optimization; China; demand; supply; trade; agricultural commodities; Demand and Price Analysis; Industrial Organization; International Development;

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    1. Fengxia Dong & Frank H. Fuller, 2007. "Changing Diets in China's Cities: Empirical Fact or Urban Legend?," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 06-wp437, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    2. Tae H. Oum & Waters, W.G. & Jong Say Yong, 1990. "A survey of recent estimates of price elasticities of demand for transport," Policy Research Working Paper Series 359, The World Bank.
    3. Bessler, David A. & Fuller, Stephen W., 2000. "Railroad wheat transportation markets in the central plains: modeling with error correction and directed graphs," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 21-39, March.
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