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Valuing New Random GM Traits: The Case of Drought Tolerant Wheat

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  • Shakya, Sumadhur
  • Wilson, William W.
  • Dahl, Bruce L.

Abstract

There has been an increase in support for developing genetic modification (GM) technology in wheat. The purpose of this paper was to develop an analytical model to analyze the value of GM traits at different phases of development. To do so we developed a stochastic binomial model of real options. The results indicate that the value of drought tolerant wheat using GM technology is in-the-money at each phase of development. The greatest value would accrue to the Prairie Gateway and northern Great Plains regions in the United States.

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File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/128033
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics in its series Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report with number 128033.

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Date of creation: Jun 2012
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Handle: RePEc:ags:nddaae:128033

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Related research

Keywords: Crop Production/Industries; Productivity Analysis; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies;

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  1. Shi, Guanming & Chavas, Jean-Paul & Steigert, Kyle, 2009. "An Analysis of the Pricing of Traits in the U.S. Corn Seed Market," Staff Paper Series 544, University of Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics.
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