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The Role of the Bid-Ask Spread in a Dynamic - Time-Varying Optimal Hedging Model

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Author Info
Haigh, Michael S.
Abstract

This paper presents a manageable and effective way of nesting two popular, yet distinct approaches to obtain optimal hedging ratios - time-series econometrics (GARCH) and dynamic programming (DP). The nested DP-GARCH model is then compared to a DP-GARCH model that accounts for variability in the bid-ask spread often unobserved (and hence ignored) in most studies. Results from an empirical application using data from an importantly traded commodity " sugar " suggest that a DP-GARCH model that incorporates the bid-ask spread still outperforms more traditional models. Moreover, the hedging ratios are far less volatile, and statistically different, than those recommended by the traditional GARCH methods that ignore the spread.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management in its series 2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri with number 18967.

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Date of creation: 2001
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Handle: RePEc:ags:ncrone:18967

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Web page: http://www.agebb.missouri.edu/ncrext/ncr134/

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Related research
Keywords: Marketing;

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