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Modeling Agricultural Trade Liberalization And Its Implications For The European Union

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  • Anania, Giovanni

Abstract

The paper reviews the models used in the past 10 years or so to analyze the expected effects of liberalizing agricultural trade with specific reference to the implications for agriculture and agricultural policies in the European Union. Its main aim is to provide the reader with an overview of models which have been used to assess, first, during the Uruguay Round, the implications of alternative hypothetical trade liberalization scenarios, then, the Agreement itself, and, more recently, the implications of further steps in liberalizing agricultural markets as a result of the on-going WTO negotiations. The conclusion is that the efforts to model agricultural trade and trade policies, taken as a whole, are not fully satisfactory. Although there are several models which offer accurate representations of international agricultural markets and trade policies, there are many others, including several developed and used by governments and relevant multilateral institutions, which are structurally incapable of providing reliable answers to certain policy questions they are posed. The final part of the paper identifies priorities for actions to be taken in order to improve modeling of trade policies and WTO commitments.

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File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14797
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by National Institute of Agricultural Economics, Italy INEA, Osservatorio Sulle Politiche Agricole dell'UE in its series Working Papers with number 14797.

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Date of creation: 2001
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Handle: RePEc:ags:ineawp:14797

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Keywords: International Relations/Trade;

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Cited by:
  1. Garcia Alvarez-Coque, Jose-Maria & Martinez-Gomez, Victor & Villanueva, Miquel, 2007. "Trade Model to Assess Euro-Med Agreements. An Application to the Fresh Tomato Market," Working Papers 7281, TRADEAG - Agricultural Trade Agreements.
  2. Garcia-Alvarez-Coque, Jose-Maria & Martinez-Gomez, Victor & Villanueva, Mique, 2006. "Modelling Euro-Mediterranean Agricultural Trade," MPRA Paper 1832, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Maria Cipollina & Luca Salvatici, 2008. "Measuring Protection: Mission Impossible?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 577-616, 07.
  4. Selva, Maria Luisa Marti & Garcia Alvarez-Coque, Jose-Maria, 2006. "A Gravity Approach to Assess the Effects of Association Agreements on Euromediterranean Trade of Fruits and Vegetables," Working Papers 18874, TRADEAG - Agricultural Trade Agreements.

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