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Trade Liberalization and Productivity Growth: A Recursive Dynamic CGE Analysis for Turkey

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  • Dudu, Hasan
  • Cakmak, Erol H.

Abstract

In this study, we analyze the effects of trade liberalization and productivity growth in agricultural activities on Turkey by using a dynamic CGE model calibrated to 2008 data. The simulation results suggest that Turkish economy is capable of accommodating the adverse effects of trade liberalization. There are significant welfare gains if trade liberalization is accompanied by the CAP payments in the accession scenario. Productivity increase in agri-food production by just decreasing food waste has prominent effects on welfare,trade and food security for the growing population.

Suggested Citation

  • Dudu, Hasan & Cakmak, Erol H., 2013. "Trade Liberalization and Productivity Growth: A Recursive Dynamic CGE Analysis for Turkey," 2013: Productivity and Its Impacts on Global Trade, June 2-4, 2013. Seville, Spain 152357, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iatr13:152357
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.152357
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    1. Felicitas Nowak‐Lehmann & Dierk Herzer & Inmaculada Martinez‐Zarzoso & Sebastian Vollmer, 2007. "The Impact of a Customs Union between Turkey and the EU on Turkey's Exports to the EU," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(3), pages 719-743, September.
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    3. A. De Santis, Robert, 2000. "The Impact of a Customs Union with the EU on Turkey’s Welfare, Employment and Income Distribution: An AGE Model with Alternative Labour Market Structures," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 15, pages 195-238.
    4. Pekka Sulamaa & Mika Widgrén, 2006. "Turkish EU Membership: a Simulation Study on Economic Effects," EcoMod2006 272100090, EcoMod.
    5. Arjan Lejour & Ruud de Mooij & Clem Capel, 2004. "Assessing the economic implications of Turkish accession to the EU," CPB Document 56, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    6. Felicitas Nowak‐Lehmann & Dierk Herzer & Inmaculada Martinez‐Zarzoso & Sebastian Vollmer, 2007. "The Impact of a Customs Union between Turkey and the EU on Turkey's Exports to the EU," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(3), pages 719-743, September.
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    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods;
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