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Demographics, Societal Aging, and Meat Consumption in China

Author

Listed:
  • Min, Shi
  • Bai, Junfei
  • Seale, James L. Jr.
  • Wahl, Thomas

Abstract

Drawn on the data collected by surveying 1,340 urban households from 6 cities in China, this paper estimates the impacts of demographic structure and population aging on household meat consumption, by jointly considering meat consumed at-home and away-from-home. Based on the trajectories of population, a simple simulation on meat demand trend in China is conducted subsequently. The results suggest: 1) Meat consumed away-from-home averagely accounts for near 30% of household total meat consumption in terms of quantity, so that its omission likely leads to a significant underestimate of total meat consumption and misunderstanding the driving forces; 2) Population aging significantly and negatively affects per capita meat consumption, suggesting that the expected meat demand in China without considering population aging will be overestimated. The findings from this study have important implications for better understanding the relative issues on China’s meat consumption under the situation of population aging.

Suggested Citation

  • Min, Shi & Bai, Junfei & Seale, James L. Jr. & Wahl, Thomas, 2015. "Demographics, Societal Aging, and Meat Consumption in China," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212715, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae15:212715
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.212715
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    Cited by:

    1. Sicheng Zhao & Tingyu Li & Guogang Wang & Yongxiang Zhang, 2023. "Adjustment of Meat Consumption Structure under the Dual Goals of Food Security and Carbon Reduction in China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-14, December.
    2. Zheng, Qiujie & Wang, H. Holly, 2016. "Chinese preferences for sustainable attributes for food away from home: A rank-ordered model," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 148-158.
    3. Xinru Han & Ping Xue & Wenbo Zhu & Xiudong Wang & Guojing Li, 2022. "Shrinking Working-Age Population and Food Demand: Evidence from Rural China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-15, November.
    4. Li, Shaoting & Chen, Xuan & Ren, Yanjun & Glauben, Thomas, 2024. "The impact of demographic dynamics on food consumption and its environmental outcomes: Evidence from China," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 23(2), pages 414-429.
    5. Min, Shi & Waibel, Hermann & Huang, Jikun, 2017. "Smallholder participation in the land rental market in a mountainous region of Southern China: Impact of population aging, land tenure security and ethnicity," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 625-637.
    6. Burggraf, Christine & Kuhn, Lena & Zhao, Qi-ran & Teuber, Ramona & Glauben, Thomas, 2015. "Economic growth and nutrition transition: An empirical analysis comparing demand elasticities for foods in China and Russia," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 14(6), pages 1008-1022.

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    Keywords

    International Development; Public Economics;

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