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Uncertainty, Wage Setting and Decision Making in a Monetary Union

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Hefeker, Carsten

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Abstract

The enlargement of the European Monetary Union is likely to lead to an increase of uncertainty about the transmission of monetary policy for the larger union. Adding new members to the central bank council will in addition imply that the preferences of the enlarged council will be uncertain in the initial period. The paper considers the influence of both types of uncertainty on wage setting behavior in the larger monetary union and its effects on unemployment. In light of these effects, implications for the adequate structure of the central bank are derived.

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Paper provided by Hamburg Institute of International Economics in its series Discussion Paper Series with number 26204.

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Date of creation: 2004
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Handle: RePEc:ags:hiiedp:26204

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Keywords: Monetary Policy Uncertainty; Wage Setting; European Central Bank; Euro Area; Accession Countries.; Financial Economics; Labor and Human Capital; D72; E58;

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  1. Rudiger Dornbusch & Carlo A. Favero & Francesco Giavazzi, 1998. "The Immediate Challenges for the European Central Bank," NBER Working Papers 6369, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Helge Berger & Jakob Haan, 2002. "Are small countries too powerful within the ECB?," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 30(3), pages 263-282, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Fidrmuc, Jarko & Iikka Korhonen, 2003. "Similarity of Supply and Demand Shocks Between the Euro Area and the CEECs," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 77, Royal Economic Society. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Carsten Hefeker, 2003. "Federal Monetary Policy," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 105(4), pages 643-659, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Ulf Söderström, 2000. "Monetary policy with uncertain parameters," Working Paper Series 13, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Baldwin, Richard & Berglöf, Erik & Giavazzi, Francesco & Widgrén, Mika, 2000. "EU Reforms for Tomorrow’s Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 2623, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Daniel Gros & Carsten Hefeker, 2002. "One Size Must Fit All: National Divergences in a Monetary Union," German Economic Review, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 3(3), pages 247-262, 08. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Ignazio Angeloni & Benoit Mojon & Anil K. Kashyap & Daniele Terlizzese, 2002. "Monetary transmission in the Euro Area: where do we stand?," Working Paper Series 114, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  9. Paul De Grauwe, 2000. "Monetary Policies in the Presence of Asymmetries," Journal of Common Market Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(4), pages 593-612, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Cukierman, A. & Lippi, F., 1999. "Labor markets and monetary union : a strategic analysis," Discussion Paper 100, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Elbourne, Adam & de Haan, Jakob, 2006. "Financial structure and monetary policy transmission in transition countries," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 1-23, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. De Grauwe, Paul, 2000. "Monetary Policies In The Presence Of Asymmetries," CEPR Discussion Papers 2393, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Benigno, Pierpaolo, 2004. "Optimal monetary policy in a currency area," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 293-320, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Paul De Grauwe & Marc-Alexandre Senegas, 2003. "Monetary Policy in EMU when the Transmission is Asymmetric and Uncertain," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  15. Helge Berger & Till Mueller, 2004. "How Should Large and Small Countries Be Represented in a Currency Union?," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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  16. Ellen E. Meade & D. Nathan Sheets, 2002. "Regional influences on U.S. monetary policy: some implications for Europe," International Finance Discussion Papers 721, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  17. Petra M. Geraats, 2002. "Central Bank Transparency," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 112(483), pages 532-565, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  18. Rudi Dornbusch & Carlo Favero & Francesco Giavazzi, 1998. "Immediate challenges for the European Central Bank," Economic Policy, CEPR, CES, MSH, vol. 13(26), pages 15-64, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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