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Spatial Structural Change - Evidence and Prospects

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Author Info
Bade, Franz-Josef
Niebuhr, Annekatrin
Schonert, Matthias
Abstract

Main topics of the following analysis are the development of spatial structure and the question whether the economic disparities between agglomerations and peripheral areas will con- or diverge. Frequently, economic disparities are measured by per capita income. Because of the relationship between income growth and employment change, a separate analysis of both quantitative components seems to be more appropriate. Furthermore, to reduce the uncertainty concerning the future development of regional disparities human capital - owing to its decisive importance for economic and technological competitiveness - is considered as well. Consequently this study of regional disparities is based on the analysis of time-series for several indicators from 1976 to 1996. Due to this long period the data is constrained to the old FRG. The central tendencies of spatial structural change - on the one side (relative) gains of urban fringe and peripheral areas, on the other side (relative) losses of agglomerations and their centres - prove to be extremely stable for all indicators on the level of spatial categories. The stability of spatial structural change suggests that the deconcentration process will continue in the near future. Die folgende Analyse beschäftigt sich mit der Entwicklung des räumlichen Strukturwandels und der Frage, ob die Unterschiede in der Wirtschaftskraft zwischen Verdic htungsräumen und ländlich-peripheren Regionen kon- oder divergieren. Üblicherweise wird die Wirtschaftskraft mit dem Pro-Kopf-Einkommen bewertet. Aufgrund der Zusammenhänge zwischen Einkommens- und Beschäftigungsentwicklung erscheint eine getrennte Analyse der Indikatoren angemessener. Um die Unsicherheit, die bezüglich der zukünftigen Entwicklung regionaler Disparitäten besteht, zu reduzieren, wird zudem das regionale Humankapital analysiert, weil das Humankapital eine zentrale Determinante der Wettbewerbsfähigkeit von Regionen ist. Die Untersuchung regionaler Disp aritäten basiert auf Zeitreihen für mehrere Indikatoren von 1976 bis 1996, die sich au fgrund des langen Zeitraums auf die alten Bundesländer beschränken. Die zentralen Tendenzen des räumlichen Strukturwandels - auf der einen Seite (relative) Gewinne sowohl des Verdichtungsumlandes als auch der peripheren Regionen, auf der anderen Seite (relative) Verluste sowohl der Verdichtungszentren als auch der Verdichtung sräume insgesamt - erweisen sich in den Analysen als äußerst stabil. Die Stabilität des räumlichen Strukturwandels deutet eher auf eine Fortsetzung der räumlichen Dekonzentration als auf eine Umkehr der Disurbanisierung zugunsten der Verdichtungsräume hin.

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Paper provided by Hamburg Institute of International Economics in its series Discussion Paper Series with number 26157.

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Date of creation: 2000
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Handle: RePEc:ags:hiiedp:26157

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Keywords: International Development; O18; R11;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Jan Fagerberg, Bart Verspagen, Marjolein Caniëls, 1997. "Technology, Growth and Unemployment across European Regions," Regional Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 31(5), pages 457-466, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Zvi Griliches, 1996. "The Discovery of the Residual: A Historical Note," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 34(3), pages 1324-1330, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Sala-i-Martin, Xavier X., 1996. "Regional cohesion: Evidence and theories of regional growth and convergence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1325-1352, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Lawrence F. Katz, 1992. "Regional Evolutions," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 23(1992-1), pages 1-76. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jan Fagerberg & Bart Verspagen, 1996. "Heading for Divergence? Regional Growth in Europe Reconsidered," Journal of Common Market Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 34(3), pages 431-448, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Carlino, Gerald A. & Mills, Leonard, 1996. "Testing neoclassical convergence in regional incomes and earnings," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 565-590, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Canova, Fabio & Marcet, Albert, 1995. "The Poor Stay Poor: Non-Convergence Across Countries and Regions," CEPR Discussion Papers 1265, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Freeman, Chris, 1994. "The Economics of Technical Change," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(5), pages 463-514, October.
  9. Quah, Danny, 1993. "Empirical cross-section dynamics in economic growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(2-3), pages 426-434, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Laaser, Claus-Friedrich & Soltwedel, Rüdiger, 2002. "Internet, adjustment of firms and the spatial division of labour," ERSA conference papers ersa02p520, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  2. Davies, Sara & Hallet, Martin, 2002. "Interactions between National and Regional Development," Discussion Paper Series 26187, Hamburg Institute of International Economics. [Downloadable!]
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