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Multicriteria and Multiperiod Programming for Scenario Analysis in Guadalquivir River Irrigated Farming

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  • Vecino, Julio Berbel
  • Baldovin, Maria Jose
  • Gutierrez, Carlos
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    Abstract

    A multiperiod model based upon a multicriteria objective function has been developed for a representative area of the Guadalquivir Valley, dividing the irrigated area into homogeneous types of farming as identified by cluster analysis. The model was applied to different future scenarios with a time horizon of 10 years and several different farming environments. A set of eight sustainability indicators has been evaluated for the model. The results show that the evolution of crops over time is closely related to the political environment regarding the Common Agricultural Policy and the application of the Water Framework Directive. Methodological innovation has included the successful simultaneous introduction of MCDM and multiperiod programming techniques applied to agriculture and scenario development.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by European Association of Agricultural Economists in its series 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark with number 24612.

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    Date of creation: 2005
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    Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae05:24612

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    Related research

    Keywords: multiperiod programming; multicriteria programming; sustainable agriculture; scenario analysis; Agribusiness; C61;

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    1. Rehman, T. & Romero, C., 1993. "The application of the MCDM paradigm to the management of agricultural systems: Some basic considerations," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 239-255.
    2. Gomez-Limon, J. A. & Berbel, J., 2000. "Multicriteria analysis of derived water demand functions: a Spanish case study," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 49-72, January.
    3. Berbel, J. & Rodriguez-Ocana, A., 1998. "An MCDM approach to production analysis: An application to irrigated farms in Southern Spain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 107(1), pages 108-118, May.
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    Cited by:
    1. Vecino, Julio Berbel & Lopez, Maria Jos & Gutierrez, Carlos, 2005. "Impact of Policy Scenarios in Irrigated Agriculture of River Guadalquivir Basin (Southern Spain)," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24499, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

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