Identification of stochastic processes for an estimated icewine temperature hedging variable
AbstractWeather derivatives are a relatively new form of financial security that can provide firms with the ability to hedge against the impact of weather related risks to their activities. Participants in the energy industry have employed standardized weather contracts trading on organized exchanges since 1999 and the interest in non-standardized contracts for specialized weather related risks is growing at an increasing rate. The purpose of this paper is to examine the potential use of weather derivatives to hedge against temperature related risks in Canadian ice wine production. Specifically we examine historical data for the Niagara region of the province of Ontario, Canada, the largest icewine producing region of the world, to determine an appropriate underlying variable for the design of an option contact that could be employed by icewine producers. Employing monte carlo simulation we derive a range of benchmark option values based upon varying assumptions regarding the stochastic process for an underlying temperature variable. The results show that such option contracts can provide valuable hedging opportunities for producers, given the historical seasonal temperature variations in the region.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by American Association of Wine Economists in its series Working Papers with number 37298.
Date of creation: Apr 2007
Date of revision:
wine market; weather derivatives; weather hedging; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Crop Production/Industries; Environmental Economics and Policy; G13; G32; Q14; Q51; Q54;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
- G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
- Q14 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Finance
- Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
- Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Richards, Timothy J. & Manfredo, Mark R. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2004. "Pricing Weather Derivatives," Working Papers 28536, Arizona State University, Morrison School of Agribusiness and Resource Management.
- Geman, Hélyette & Leonardi, Marie-Pascale, 2005. "Alternative Approaches to Weather Derivatives Pricing," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/1386, Paris Dauphine University.
- M. Davis, 2001. "Pricing weather derivatives by marginal value," Quantitative Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 1(3), pages 305-308.
- Ben Salk, Sana & Blondel, Serge & Daniel, Christophe & Deffains-Crapsky, Catherine & Jutard, Catherine & Sejourne, Bruno, 2007. "Management of climate risks in the wine sector: a field study on risky behaviour," 101st Seminar, July 5-6, 2007, Berlin Germany 9251, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
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