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Estimating The Demand For Food And Non-Food Items Using An Almost Ideal Demand System Modelling Approach

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  • Agbola, Frank W.

Abstract

An Almost Ideal Demand System model is used to examine consumer behaviour in India using household survey data for the period 1973-74 through to 1993-94. The empirical results indicate that, for commodity groups, demand is inelastic, except for other foods and non-foods. The expenditure elasticity estimates indicate that milk and non-foods are luxury goods, while pulses, cereals, edible oil, meats, fruits and vegetables and other foods are necessities in the Indian diet. The results indicate that, for any increase in future expenditure, the largest percentage increase will be allocated to non-foods, followed by cereal, other foods, milk, fruits and vegetables, edible oil, pulses and meats, in that order. Estimates of future food supply and demand growth in India indicate that the gap between growth in domestic demand and domestic production is large, particularly for commodities such as pulses (deficit growing at 2.47% p.a.), but low for others like edible oils (0.02% p.a. deficit) and cereal (0.26% p.a. deficit). As a result, India is likely to see large increases in food imports in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Agbola, Frank W., 2000. "Estimating The Demand For Food And Non-Food Items Using An Almost Ideal Demand System Modelling Approach," 2000 Conference (44th), January 23-25, 2000, Sydney, Australia 123589, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aare00:123589
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.123589
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    1. James A. Chalfant & Richard S. Gray & Kenneth J. White, 1991. "Evaluating Prior Beliefs in a Demand System: The Case of Meat Demand in Canada," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 73(2), pages 476-490.
    2. Dermot J. Hayes & Thomas I. Wahl & Gary W. Williams, 1990. "Testing Restrictions on a Model of Japanese Meat Demand," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(3), pages 556-566.
    3. Chalfant, James A, 1987. "A Globally Flexible, Almost Ideal Demand System," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 5(2), pages 233-242, April.
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    2. Khalid Abu-Ismail & Niranjan Sarang, 2015. "Rethinking the Measurement of the Middle Class: Evidence from Egypt," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-023, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    3. Vincent Linderhof & Marieke Meeske & Vasco Diogo & Anne Sonneveld, 2021. "The Impact of Water-Related Pollution on Food Systems in Transition: The Case of Northern Vietnam," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, February.

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