Evaluating Agricultural Productivity’s Impact on Food Security
AbstractGlobal agriculture must significantly increase production to meet by mid-century the demands for food, feed, and fiber posed by the world’s enlarging population. An important requirement to meeting those demands is a lifting of agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) growth rates. The present analysis evaluates the impact global agricultural TFP growth may have on food security in developing countries over the next decade. The results present an encouraging picture of developing countries’ food security status, especially in Asia and Africa. It finds that a continuation of last decade’s agricultural performance significantly accelerates food security reductions, highlighting the important role agricultural productivity plays in a country’s food security strategy. It also finds that TFP growth alleviates food insecurity primarily through a balanced approach between production and trade in Asia and Latin America but gains in Africa appear heavily tilted toward imports. There are, however, limitations to our approach, such as possible overestimation of import capacity in some countries.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Agricultural and Applied Economics Association in its series 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. with number 149548.
Date of creation: 2013
Date of revision:
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agricultural productivity growth; TFP; GTAP; value-added; gross output; food security; Food Security and Poverty; International Development; Productivity Analysis;
Other versions of this item:
- Rada, Nicholas E. & Rosen, Stacey & Beckman, Jayson, 2013. "Evaluating Agricultural Productivity’s Impact on Food Security," Proceedings Issues, 2013: Productivity and Its Impacts on Global Trade, June 2-4, 2013. Seville, Spain 152265, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
- Rada, Nicholas & Rosen, Stacey & Beckman, Jayson, 2013. "Evaluating Agricultural Productivity’s Impact on Food Security," Proceedings Issues, 2013: Productivity and Its Impacts on Global Trade, June 2-4, 2013. Seville, Spain 152267, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
- NEP-AGR-2013-06-04 (Agricultural Economics)
- NEP-ALL-2013-06-04 (All new papers)
- NEP-EFF-2013-06-04 (Efficiency & Productivity)
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