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Conservation Needs Assessment: Sustainability with Substitution and Biased Technical Change

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Author Info
Sesmero, Juan P.
Fulginiti, Lilyan E.

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Abstract

This study explores the role of rate and biases of technological change in the sustainability of an economy with an exhaustible resource. In order to achieve this goal, the mathematical concept of viability kernel is introduced as a sustainability indicator and necessary conditions for sustainability are completely depicted in terms of technological parameters. The literature has historically assumed substitutability between human capital and natural resources and technological progress that is neutral in terms of relative input productivity and minimum efficient scale of production. Both assumptions have been widely criticized given the patterns of technological change and substitution observed empirically. Hence the theoretical contribution developed here allows calculation of sustainability thresholds in a manner that permits two of the most important drivers of economic behavior, substitution possibilities and biased technical change. As a result, necessary conditions for sustainability are derived in terms of rate and bias of technical change and elasticity of substitution. Results previously derived in the literature are reviewed and comparisons are made with new results derived from more flexible technological specifications. Several important results are found. First, the identification between elasticity of substitution and sustainability breaks down. Second, a rather optimistic result is obtained by which Increasing Returns to Scale sometimes can prevent the economy from extinction even with zero technological progress and positive capital depreciation. Third, input bias of technical change is critical in determining sustainability and further, size-increasing bias of technical change increases the likelihood of an economy to be sustainable in all cases.

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Paper provided by American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) in its series 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida with number 6486.

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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea08:6486

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Keywords: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy;

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  1. Dixit, Avinash & Hammond, Peter & Hoel, Michael, 1980. "On Hartwick's Rule for Regular Maximin Paths of Capital Accumulation and Resource Depletion," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(3), pages 551-56, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Hartwick, John M, 1977. "Intergenerational Equity and the Investing of Rents from Exhaustible Resources," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(5), pages 972-74, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Kenneth Arrow et al., 2004. "Are We Consuming Too Much?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(3), pages 147-172, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Graciela Chichilnisky, 1996. "An axiomatic approach to sustainable development," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 231-257, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. John C. V. Pezzey, 1997. "Sustainability Constraints versus "Optimality" versus Intertemporal Concern, and Axioms versus Data," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 73(4), pages 448-466. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Bonneuil, Noel, 1994. "Capital Accumulation, Inertia of Consumption and Norms of Reproduction," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 49-62.
  7. Bene, C. & Doyen, L. & Gabay, D., 2001. "A viability analysis for a bio-economic model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 385-396, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. R. M. Solow, 1973. "Intergenerational Equity and Exhaustable Resources," Working papers 103, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
  9. Perrin, Richard K., 1997. "The Impact Of Technological Change On A Competitive Industry," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 22(02), December. [Downloadable!]
  10. Solow, Robert, 1993. "An almost practical step toward sustainability," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 162-172, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Griffin, Ronald C. & Montgomery, John M. & Rister, M. Edward, 1987. "Selecting Functional Form In Production Function Analysis," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 12(02), December. [Downloadable!]
  12. Martinet, V. & Doyen, L., 2007. "Sustainability of an economy with an exhaustible resource: A viable control approach," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 17-39, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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