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Analyse spectrale de l’évolution de longue période des brevets en France, en Allemagne, en Grande-Bretagne, aux Etats-Unis et au Japon (17ème-20ème siècles)

Author

Listed:
  • Claude Diebolt

    (BETA/CNRS, Université Louis Pasteur de Strasbourg, France)

  • Karine Pellier

    (LAMETA/CNRS, Université Montpellier I, France)

Abstract

L’application de l’analyse spectrale au domaine cliométrique a été jusqu’à présente restreinte. Elle est employée ici pour déterminer la périodicité des séries agrégées de brevets de la France, de l’Allemagne, de la Grande-Bretagne et des Etats-Unis. Après avoir rappelé la méthode (I), nous examinerons les séries retenues, le traitement de ces séries et les résultats de l’analyse spectrale (II). Il sera alors possible de montrer les perspectives de ce type d’approche et de synthétiser un résultat majeur, à savoir l’existence d’un cycle unique, commun aux quatre pays, de type Juglar.

Suggested Citation

  • Claude Diebolt & Karine Pellier, 2008. "Analyse spectrale de l’évolution de longue période des brevets en France, en Allemagne, en Grande-Bretagne, aux Etats-Unis et au Japon (17ème-20ème siècles)," Working Papers 08-09, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
    • Handle: RePEc:afc:wpaper:08-09
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    File URL: http://www.cliometrie.org/images/wp/AFC_WP_09-2008.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thierry Aimar & Francis Bismans & Claude Diebolt, 2010. "Le cycle économique : une synthèse," Revue Française d'Économie, Programme National Persée, vol. 24(4), pages 3-65.
    2. Claude Diebolt & Cédric Doliger, 2008. "New international evidence on the cyclical behaviour of output: Kuznets swings reconsidered," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 42(6), pages 719-737, December.
    3. Simon Kuznets, 1962. "Inventive Activity: Problems of Definition and Measurement," NBER Chapters, in: The Rate and Direction of Inventive Activity: Economic and Social Factors, pages 19-52, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Claude Diebolt & Vivien Guiraud, 2005. "A Note On Long Memory Time Series," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 39(6), pages 827-836, December.
    5. Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997. "Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
    6. Darne, Olivier & Diebolt, Claude, 2004. "Unit roots and infrequent large shocks: new international evidence on output," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 1449-1465, October.
    7. Alfred Kleinknecht, 1987. "Innovation Patterns in Crisis and Prosperity," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-349-18559-7, October.
    8. Claude Diebolt, 2005. "Long Cycles Revisited [Les cycles longs revisités]," Post-Print hal-00279349, HAL.
    9. Claude Diebolt, 2005. "Long Cycles Revisited. An Essay in Econometric History," Working Papers 05-05, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Verne, Jean-François, 2011. "Les principales caractéristiques du cycle économique et de la croissance tendancielle au Liban," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 87(2), pages 117-136, juin.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Analyse spectral; brevets; cliométrie; cycles économiques.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • N11 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - U.S.; Canada: Pre-1913
    • N12 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • N13 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Europe: Pre-1913
    • N1 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations

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